Green Hygienics Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Regression

GRHY Stock  USD 0.0002  0.00  0.00%   
Green Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Green Hygienics' share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Green Hygienics' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Green Hygienics, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Green Hygienics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Green Hygienics from the perspective of Green Hygienics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Green Hygienics on the next trading day is expected to be -0.0009 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.07.

Green Hygienics after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.2E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Green Hygienics to cross-verify your projections.

Green Hygienics Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Green price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Green using various technical indicators. When you analyze Green charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Green Hygienics price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Green Hygienics Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 8th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Green Hygienics on the next trading day is expected to be -0.0009 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000194, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.07.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Green Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Green Hygienics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Green Hygienics Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Green Hygienics  Green Hygienics Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Green Hygienics Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Green Hygienics' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Green Hygienics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000002 and 12.06, respectively. We have considered Green Hygienics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0002
0.000002
Downside
-0.0009
Expected Value
12.06
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Green Hygienics pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Green Hygienics pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria104.9566
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0012
MAPEMean absolute percentage error2.5006
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0706
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Green Hygienics historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Green Hygienics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Green Hygienics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000112.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000212.06
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Green Hygienics. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Green Hygienics' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Green Hygienics' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Green Hygienics.

Green Hygienics After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Green Hygienics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Green Hygienics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Green Hygienics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Green Hygienics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Green Hygienics' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Green Hygienics' historical news coverage. Green Hygienics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 12.06, respectively. We have considered Green Hygienics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.0002
0.0001
After-hype Price
12.06
Upside
Green Hygienics is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Green Hygienics is based on 3 months time horizon.

Green Hygienics Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Green Hygienics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Green Hygienics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Green Hygienics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.51 
12.06
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.0002
0.0001
39.84 
0.00  
Notes

Green Hygienics Hype Timeline

Green Hygienics is currently traded for 0.0002. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Green is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.2E-4. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -39.84%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -1.51%. The volatility of related hype on Green Hygienics is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Green Hygienics had 1:10000 split on the 20th of May 2011. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Green Hygienics to cross-verify your projections.

Green Hygienics Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Green Hygienics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Green Hygienics' future price movements. Getting to know how Green Hygienics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Green Hygienics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PVRSProvidence Resources 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.06  3.80 (3.66) 160.65 
HENIHinto Energy 0.00 0 per month 12.59  0.12  56.00 (36.31) 615.95 
MTLKMetalink 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.11  0.00  0.00  69.44 
GMZPGemz Corp 0.00 0 per month 16.63  0.12  50.00 (28.57) 126.67 
SKWGSkywealth Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
TMLLThird Millennium Industries 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
TIPNFTyner Resources 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
WWDHWorldwide Holdings Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CFGXCapital Financial Gl 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
APHDVerde Bio Holdings 0.00 0 per month 19.13  0.12  66.67 (55.68) 2,393 

Other Forecasting Options for Green Hygienics

For every potential investor in Green, whether a beginner or expert, Green Hygienics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Green Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Green. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Green Hygienics' price trends.

Green Hygienics Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Green Hygienics pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Green Hygienics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Green Hygienics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Green Hygienics Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Green Hygienics pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Green Hygienics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Green Hygienics pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Green Hygienics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Green Hygienics Risk Indicators

The analysis of Green Hygienics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Green Hygienics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting green pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Green Hygienics

The number of cover stories for Green Hygienics depends on current market conditions and Green Hygienics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Green Hygienics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Green Hygienics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Additional Tools for Green Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Green Hygienics' price analysis, check to measure Green Hygienics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Green Hygienics is operating at the current time. Most of Green Hygienics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Green Hygienics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Green Hygienics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Green Hygienics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.