Gri Ecologic Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

GRI Stock  EUR 1.00  0.02  2.04%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Gri Ecologic SA on the next trading day is expected to be 1.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.12. Gri Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Gri Ecologic stock prices and determine the direction of Gri Ecologic SA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Gri Ecologic's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the value of rsi of Gri Ecologic's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Gri Ecologic's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Gri Ecologic SA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Gri Ecologic hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gri Ecologic SA from the perspective of Gri Ecologic response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Gri Ecologic SA on the next trading day is expected to be 1.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.12.

Gri Ecologic after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 1.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gri Ecologic to cross-verify your projections.

Gri Ecologic Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Gri price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gri using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gri charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Gri Ecologic simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Gri Ecologic SA are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Gri Ecologic SA prices get older.

Gri Ecologic Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 21st of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Gri Ecologic SA on the next trading day is expected to be 1.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00008, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.12.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gri Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gri Ecologic's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Gri Ecologic Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Gri EcologicGri Ecologic Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Gri Ecologic Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Gri Ecologic's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Gri Ecologic's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.13 and 1.87, respectively. We have considered Gri Ecologic's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.00
1.00
Expected Value
1.87
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gri Ecologic stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gri Ecologic stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria106.8391
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 7.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.002
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.002
SAESum of the absolute errors0.12
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Gri Ecologic SA forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Gri Ecologic observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Gri Ecologic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gri Ecologic SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.131.001.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.901.77
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Gri Ecologic

For every potential investor in Gri, whether a beginner or expert, Gri Ecologic's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Gri Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Gri. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Gri Ecologic's price trends.

Gri Ecologic Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gri Ecologic stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gri Ecologic could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gri Ecologic by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Gri Ecologic SA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Gri Ecologic's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Gri Ecologic's current price.

Gri Ecologic Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gri Ecologic stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gri Ecologic shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gri Ecologic stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Gri Ecologic SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Gri Ecologic Risk Indicators

The analysis of Gri Ecologic's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gri Ecologic's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gri stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Gri Stock

Gri Ecologic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gri Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gri with respect to the benefits of owning Gri Ecologic security.