Graubuendner Kantonalbank Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| GRKP Stock | CHF 2,050 20.00 0.99% |
Graubuendner Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Graubuendner Kantonalbank's share price is above 70 at this time. This usually indicates that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Graubuendner, making its price go up or down. Momentum 78
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.191 | EPS Estimate Current Year 86.0862 | EPS Estimate Next Year 90.8189 | Wall Street Target Price 1.5 K | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) |
Using Graubuendner Kantonalbank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Graubuendner Kantonalbank from the perspective of Graubuendner Kantonalbank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Graubuendner Kantonalbank on the next trading day is expected to be 1,982 with a mean absolute deviation of 31.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,929. Graubuendner Kantonalbank after-hype prediction price | CHF 2050.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Graubuendner |
Graubuendner Kantonalbank Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Graubuendner price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Graubuendner using various technical indicators. When you analyze Graubuendner charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Graubuendner Kantonalbank Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Graubuendner Kantonalbank on the next trading day is expected to be 1,982 with a mean absolute deviation of 31.11, mean absolute percentage error of 1,355, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,929.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Graubuendner Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Graubuendner Kantonalbank's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Graubuendner Kantonalbank Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Graubuendner Kantonalbank | Graubuendner Kantonalbank Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Graubuendner Kantonalbank Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Graubuendner Kantonalbank's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Graubuendner Kantonalbank's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,982 and 1,983, respectively. We have considered Graubuendner Kantonalbank's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Graubuendner Kantonalbank stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Graubuendner Kantonalbank stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 127.1602 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 31.1066 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0166 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1928.6115 |
Predictive Modules for Graubuendner Kantonalbank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Graubuendner Kantonalbank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Graubuendner Kantonalbank After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Graubuendner Kantonalbank at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Graubuendner Kantonalbank or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Graubuendner Kantonalbank, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Graubuendner Kantonalbank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Graubuendner Kantonalbank's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Graubuendner Kantonalbank's historical news coverage. Graubuendner Kantonalbank's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2,049 and 2,051, respectively. We have considered Graubuendner Kantonalbank's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Graubuendner Kantonalbank is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Graubuendner Kantonalbank is based on 3 months time horizon.
Graubuendner Kantonalbank Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Graubuendner Kantonalbank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Graubuendner Kantonalbank backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Graubuendner Kantonalbank, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 0.70 | 0.00 | 1.41 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2,050 | 2,050 | 0.00 |
|
Graubuendner Kantonalbank Hype Timeline
Graubuendner Kantonalbank is currently traded for 2,050on SIX Swiss Exchange of Switzerland. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -1.41. Graubuendner is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.22%. %. The volatility of related hype on Graubuendner Kantonalbank is about 10.9%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2,049. About 84.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.44. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Graubuendner Kantonalbank recorded earning per share (EPS) of 273.64. The entity last dividend was issued on the 7th of March 2025. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Graubuendner Kantonalbank to cross-verify your projections.Graubuendner Kantonalbank Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Graubuendner Kantonalbank's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Graubuendner Kantonalbank's future price movements. Getting to know how Graubuendner Kantonalbank's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Graubuendner Kantonalbank may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HBMN | HBM Healthcare Investments | 2.00 | 3 per month | 0.69 | 0.17 | 2.58 | (1.69) | 5.28 | |
| BCGE | Banque Cantonale de | (0.40) | 6 per month | 0.42 | 0.17 | 1.86 | (1.21) | 4.38 | |
| BLKB | Basellandschaftliche Kantonalbank | 0.70 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.29 | 1.76 | (0.61) | 5.36 | |
| WKBN | Banque Cantonale du | (0.50) | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.15 | 0.78 | (0.39) | 1.94 | |
| TKBP | Thurgauer Kantonalbank | 3.00 | 7 per month | 0.45 | 0.12 | 1.54 | (0.95) | 4.33 | |
| VATN | Valiant Holding AG | (0.60) | 6 per month | 0.77 | 0.20 | 2.62 | (1.43) | 6.06 | |
| BSKP | Basler Kantonalbank | 0.00 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.29 | 2.38 | (0.86) | 4.09 | |
| SNBN | Schweizerische Nationalbank | (70.00) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.82 | (3.23) | 9.15 | |
| GLKBN | Glarner Kantonalbank | 0.10 | 5 per month | 0.47 | 0.06 | 0.97 | (0.95) | 5.22 | |
| BEKN | Berner Kantonalbank AG | 1.50 | 7 per month | 0.51 | 0.28 | 1.71 | (1.27) | 6.62 |
Other Forecasting Options for Graubuendner Kantonalbank
For every potential investor in Graubuendner, whether a beginner or expert, Graubuendner Kantonalbank's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Graubuendner Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Graubuendner. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Graubuendner Kantonalbank's price trends.Graubuendner Kantonalbank Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Graubuendner Kantonalbank stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Graubuendner Kantonalbank could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Graubuendner Kantonalbank by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Graubuendner Kantonalbank Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Graubuendner Kantonalbank stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Graubuendner Kantonalbank shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Graubuendner Kantonalbank stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Graubuendner Kantonalbank entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Graubuendner Kantonalbank Risk Indicators
The analysis of Graubuendner Kantonalbank's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Graubuendner Kantonalbank's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting graubuendner stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.5035 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.6645 | |||
| Variance | 0.4415 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.4337 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.03) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.74) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Graubuendner Kantonalbank
The number of cover stories for Graubuendner Kantonalbank depends on current market conditions and Graubuendner Kantonalbank's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Graubuendner Kantonalbank is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Graubuendner Kantonalbank's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Graubuendner Kantonalbank Short Properties
Graubuendner Kantonalbank's future price predictability will typically decrease when Graubuendner Kantonalbank's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Graubuendner Kantonalbank often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Graubuendner Kantonalbank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Graubuendner Kantonalbank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8 B |
Additional Tools for Graubuendner Stock Analysis
When running Graubuendner Kantonalbank's price analysis, check to measure Graubuendner Kantonalbank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Graubuendner Kantonalbank is operating at the current time. Most of Graubuendner Kantonalbank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Graubuendner Kantonalbank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Graubuendner Kantonalbank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Graubuendner Kantonalbank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.