Grande Royal Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| GROREIT Stock | 7.45 0.05 0.68% |
Grande Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the value of rsi of Grande Royal's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Grande Royal hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Grande Royal Orchid from the perspective of Grande Royal response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Grande Royal Orchid on the next trading day is expected to be 7.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.70. Grande Royal after-hype prediction price | THB 7.45 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Grande |
Grande Royal Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Grande price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Grande using various technical indicators. When you analyze Grande charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Grande Royal Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 9th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Grande Royal Orchid on the next trading day is expected to be 7.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.70.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Grande Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Grande Royal's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Grande Royal Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Grande Royal | Grande Royal Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Grande Royal Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Grande Royal's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Grande Royal's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.26 and 8.64, respectively. We have considered Grande Royal's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Grande Royal stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Grande Royal stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.7247 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0068 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0627 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0085 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.7 |
Predictive Modules for Grande Royal
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grande Royal Orchid. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Grande Royal's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Grande Royal After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Grande Royal at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Grande Royal or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Grande Royal, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Grande Royal Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Grande Royal's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Grande Royal's historical news coverage. Grande Royal's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.26 and 8.64, respectively. We have considered Grande Royal's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Grande Royal is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Grande Royal Orchid is based on 3 months time horizon.
Grande Royal Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Grande Royal is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Grande Royal backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Grande Royal, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 1.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
7.45 | 7.45 | 0.00 |
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Grande Royal Hype Timeline
Grande Royal Orchid is currently traded for 7.45on Thailand Exchange of Thailand. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Grande is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Grande Royal is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.45. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.94. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Grande Royal Orchid last dividend was issued on the 2nd of September 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Grande Royal to cross-verify your projections.Grande Royal Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Grande Royal's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Grande Royal's future price movements. Getting to know how Grande Royal's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Grande Royal may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AMATAR | Amata Summit Growth | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.56 | (0.05) | 1.54 | (1.47) | 3.92 | |
| A5 | Asset Five Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 0.55 | (1.07) | 2.18 | |
| AMATAV | Amata VN PCL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 1.12 | (2.80) | 9.43 | |
| SRIPANWA | Sri panwa Hospitality | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.64 | (0.06) | 1.67 | (1.24) | 4.12 | |
| LPN | LPN Development Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 0.67 | (1.30) | 4.55 | |
| HYDROGEN | Hydrogen Freehold Leasehold | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.07 | (0.04) | 5.15 | (3.68) | 15.08 | |
| SENA | Sena Development Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 1.15 | (2.16) | 4.52 | |
| KTBSTMR | KTBST Mixed Leasehold | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.45 | (0) | 0.98 | (0.97) | 4.57 | |
| BRI | Britania PCL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 1.48 | (3.09) | 11.95 |
Other Forecasting Options for Grande Royal
For every potential investor in Grande, whether a beginner or expert, Grande Royal's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Grande Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Grande. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Grande Royal's price trends.Grande Royal Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Grande Royal stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Grande Royal could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Grande Royal by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Grande Royal Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Grande Royal stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Grande Royal shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Grande Royal stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Grande Royal Orchid entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Grande Royal Risk Indicators
The analysis of Grande Royal's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Grande Royal's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting grande stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8668 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.34 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.36 | |||
| Variance | 1.85 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.24 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.79 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.15) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Grande Royal
The number of cover stories for Grande Royal depends on current market conditions and Grande Royal's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Grande Royal is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Grande Royal's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Grande Royal Short Properties
Grande Royal's future price predictability will typically decrease when Grande Royal's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Grande Royal Orchid often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Grande Royal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Grande Royal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0582 | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.57 | |
| Shares Float | 303.5 M |
Additional Tools for Grande Stock Analysis
When running Grande Royal's price analysis, check to measure Grande Royal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Grande Royal is operating at the current time. Most of Grande Royal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Grande Royal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Grande Royal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Grande Royal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.