Ethema Health Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

GRST Stock  USD 0.0005  0.0002  28.57%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ethema Health Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0004 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000033 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Ethema Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Ethema Health is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Ethema Health Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Ethema Health Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ethema Health Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0004 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000033, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ethema Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ethema Health's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Ethema Health Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Ethema Health Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Ethema Health's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ethema Health's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000005 and 7.83, respectively. We have considered Ethema Health's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0005
0.000005
Downside
0.0004
Expected Value
7.83
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ethema Health pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ethema Health pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria98.085
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0455
SAESum of the absolute errors0.002
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Ethema Health Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Ethema Health. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Ethema Health

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ethema Health Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ethema Health's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00048.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.00048.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00050.00050.0005
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Ethema Health

For every potential investor in Ethema, whether a beginner or expert, Ethema Health's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ethema Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ethema. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ethema Health's price trends.

Ethema Health Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ethema Health pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ethema Health could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ethema Health by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Ethema Health Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Ethema Health's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Ethema Health's current price.

Ethema Health Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ethema Health pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ethema Health shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ethema Health pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Ethema Health Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Ethema Health Risk Indicators

The analysis of Ethema Health's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ethema Health's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ethema pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Ethema Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Ethema Health's price analysis, check to measure Ethema Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ethema Health is operating at the current time. Most of Ethema Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ethema Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ethema Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ethema Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.