GameStop Corp Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| GS2C Stock | EUR 20.07 1.14 6.02% |
GameStop Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of GameStop Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 2nd of February 2026, The value of RSI of GameStop Corp's share price is at 57. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling GameStop Corp, making its price go up or down. Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.268 | Wall Street Target Price 88 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) |
Using GameStop Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GameStop Corp from the perspective of GameStop Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of GameStop Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 20.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.37. GameStop Corp after-hype prediction price | EUR 20.07 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
GameStop |
GameStop Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine GameStop price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GameStop using various technical indicators. When you analyze GameStop charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
GameStop Corp Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of GameStop Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 20.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34, mean absolute percentage error of 0.20, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.37.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GameStop Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that GameStop Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
GameStop Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest GameStop Corp | GameStop Corp Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
GameStop Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting GameStop Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. GameStop Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 17.68 and 22.46, respectively. We have considered GameStop Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of GameStop Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent GameStop Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.649 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0175 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3395 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0182 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 20.37 |
Predictive Modules for GameStop Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GameStop Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GameStop Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
GameStop Corp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of GameStop Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GameStop Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of GameStop Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
GameStop Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting GameStop Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GameStop Corp's historical news coverage. GameStop Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.70 and 22.44, respectively. We have considered GameStop Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
GameStop Corp is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of GameStop Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
GameStop Corp Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as GameStop Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GameStop Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GameStop Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 2.39 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 9 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
20.07 | 20.07 | 0.00 |
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GameStop Corp Hype Timeline
GameStop Corp is currently traded for 20.07on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. GameStop is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on GameStop Corp is about 1275.09%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.05. About 39.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.92. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. GameStop Corp has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 325.0. The entity last dividend was issued on the 14th of March 2019. The firm had 4:1 split on the 22nd of July 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GameStop Corp to cross-verify your projections.GameStop Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to GameStop Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GameStop Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how GameStop Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GameStop Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BH5 | BlueScope Steel Limited | 0.09 | 5 per month | 1.23 | 0.20 | 4.17 | (2.42) | 21.08 | |
| BIN | Black Iron | 0.0005 | 5 per month | 3.30 | 0.06 | 7.59 | (6.10) | 25.76 | |
| NPS | Nippon Steel | 0.00 | 5 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 6LA | Lamar Advertising | 0.06 | 5 per month | 0.99 | 0.02 | 2.77 | (1.85) | 7.58 | |
| TIA | Tianjin Capital Environmental | 0.00 | 3 per month | 1.82 | 0.01 | 4.44 | (2.22) | 12.98 | |
| G03 | GungHo Online Entertainment | (0.1) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.20 | (4.23) | 10.68 | |
| MNL | Gruppo Mutuionline SpA | (0.20) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 3.70 | (2.53) | 9.56 | |
| FOO | Salesforce | (1.35) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.86 | (4.03) | 14.31 |
Other Forecasting Options for GameStop Corp
For every potential investor in GameStop, whether a beginner or expert, GameStop Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. GameStop Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in GameStop. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying GameStop Corp's price trends.GameStop Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with GameStop Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of GameStop Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GameStop Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
GameStop Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how GameStop Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading GameStop Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying GameStop Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify GameStop Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
GameStop Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of GameStop Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in GameStop Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gamestop stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.78 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.11 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.33 | |||
| Variance | 5.42 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.79 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.46 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.94) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for GameStop Corp
The number of cover stories for GameStop Corp depends on current market conditions and GameStop Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that GameStop Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about GameStop Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GameStop Corp to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in GameStop Stock please use our How to Invest in GameStop Corp guide.You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.