Globalstar Common Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| GSAT Stock | USD 60.40 4.57 7.03% |
Globalstar Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Globalstar Common's share price is at 51. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Globalstar Common, making its price go up or down. Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.02) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.3405 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.4275 | Wall Street Target Price 65.6667 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.03) |
Using Globalstar Common hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Globalstar Common Stock from the perspective of Globalstar Common response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Globalstar Common using Globalstar Common's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Globalstar using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Globalstar Common's stock price.
Globalstar Common Short Interest
An investor who is long Globalstar Common may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Globalstar Common and may potentially protect profits, hedge Globalstar Common with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 37.5149 | Short Percent 0.0746 | Short Ratio 4.7 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.6 M | 50 Day MA 63.079 |
Globalstar Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Globalstar Common Stock on the next trading day is expected to be 62.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 184.46.Globalstar Common Stock Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Globalstar Common's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Globalstar. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Globalstar can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Globalstar Common Stock. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Globalstar Common's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Globalstar Common.
Globalstar Common Implied Volatility | 0.91 |
Globalstar Common's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Globalstar Common Stock stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Globalstar Common's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Globalstar Common stock will not fluctuate a lot when Globalstar Common's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Globalstar Common Stock on the next trading day is expected to be 62.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 184.46. Globalstar Common after-hype prediction price | USD 63.46 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Globalstar | Build AI portfolio with Globalstar Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Globalstar contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Globalstar Common Stock will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0569% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Globalstar Common trading at USD 60.4, that is roughly USD 0.0344 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Globalstar Common's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Globalstar Common Stock options at the current volatility level of 0.91%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Globalstar Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Globalstar Common's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Globalstar Common's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Globalstar Common stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Globalstar Common's open interest, investors have to compare it to Globalstar Common's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Globalstar Common is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Globalstar. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Globalstar Common Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Globalstar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Globalstar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Globalstar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Globalstar Common's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2004-12-31 | Previous Quarter 308.2 M | Current Value 346.3 M | Quarterly Volatility 69.8 M |
Globalstar Common Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Globalstar Common Stock on the next trading day is expected to be 62.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.02, mean absolute percentage error of 12.91, and the sum of the absolute errors of 184.46.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Globalstar Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Globalstar Common's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Globalstar Common Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Globalstar Common | Globalstar Common Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Globalstar Common Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Globalstar Common's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Globalstar Common's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 57.99 and 67.82, respectively. We have considered Globalstar Common's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Globalstar Common stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Globalstar Common stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.6688 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.0239 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0501 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 184.4564 |
Predictive Modules for Globalstar Common
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Globalstar Common Stock. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Globalstar Common After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Globalstar Common at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Globalstar Common or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Globalstar Common, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Globalstar Common Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Globalstar Common's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Globalstar Common's historical news coverage. Globalstar Common's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 57.82 and 69.10, respectively. We have considered Globalstar Common's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Globalstar Common is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Globalstar Common Stock is based on 3 months time horizon.
Globalstar Common Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Globalstar Common is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Globalstar Common backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Globalstar Common, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.41 | 4.91 | 1.48 | 0.08 | 11 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
60.40 | 63.46 | 5.07 |
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Globalstar Common Hype Timeline
Globalstar Common Stock is currently traded for 60.40. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.48, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.08. Globalstar is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 63.46 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 136.39%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 5.07%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.41%. The volatility of related hype on Globalstar Common is about 2472.66%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 60.32. Globalstar Common Stock currently holds about 13.14 M in cash with 439.19 M of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Globalstar Common to cross-verify your projections.Globalstar Common Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Globalstar Common's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Globalstar Common's future price movements. Getting to know how Globalstar Common's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Globalstar Common may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TKC | Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri | (0.73) | 10 per month | 1.15 | 0.09 | 2.60 | (2.18) | 7.49 | |
| AD | Array Digital Infrastructure | (0.20) | 10 per month | 1.91 | 0.07 | 3.45 | (3.12) | 10.82 | |
| TDS | Telephone and Data | (0.42) | 6 per month | 1.35 | 0.08 | 2.81 | (2.35) | 8.49 | |
| PHI | PLDT Inc ADR | 0.22 | 6 per month | 0.74 | 0.15 | 2.33 | (1.68) | 7.29 | |
| LUMN | Lumen Technologies | (0.03) | 18 per month | 4.58 | 0.09 | 10.25 | (7.57) | 27.52 | |
| MSGS | Madison Square Garden | (0.20) | 13 per month | 1.01 | 0.19 | 3.12 | (1.43) | 6.41 | |
| LBTYK | Liberty Global PLC | (0.03) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.01 | (1.99) | 7.30 |
Other Forecasting Options for Globalstar Common
For every potential investor in Globalstar, whether a beginner or expert, Globalstar Common's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Globalstar Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Globalstar. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Globalstar Common's price trends.Globalstar Common Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Globalstar Common stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Globalstar Common could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Globalstar Common by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Globalstar Common Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Globalstar Common stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Globalstar Common shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Globalstar Common stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Globalstar Common Stock entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Globalstar Common Risk Indicators
The analysis of Globalstar Common's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Globalstar Common's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting globalstar stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.12 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.26 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.57 | |||
| Variance | 31.01 | |||
| Downside Variance | 22.33 | |||
| Semi Variance | 18.11 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.66) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Globalstar Common
The number of cover stories for Globalstar Common depends on current market conditions and Globalstar Common's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Globalstar Common is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Globalstar Common's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Globalstar Common Short Properties
Globalstar Common's future price predictability will typically decrease when Globalstar Common's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Globalstar Common Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Globalstar Common's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Globalstar Common's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 125.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 391.2 M |
Additional Tools for Globalstar Stock Analysis
When running Globalstar Common's price analysis, check to measure Globalstar Common's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Globalstar Common is operating at the current time. Most of Globalstar Common's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Globalstar Common's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Globalstar Common's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Globalstar Common to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.