Goldsands Dev Pink Sheet Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

GSDC Stock  USD 0.0003  0.0001  50.00%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Goldsands Dev Co on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0003 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000443 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0003. Goldsands Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Goldsands Dev stock prices and determine the direction of Goldsands Dev Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Goldsands Dev's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time The relative strength index (RSI) of Goldsands Dev's share price is above 80 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 100

 Buy Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Goldsands Dev's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Goldsands Dev Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Goldsands Dev hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Goldsands Dev Co from the perspective of Goldsands Dev response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Goldsands Dev Co on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0003 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000443 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0003.

Goldsands Dev after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.12E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Goldsands Dev to cross-verify your projections.

Goldsands Dev Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Goldsands price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Goldsands using various technical indicators. When you analyze Goldsands charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Goldsands Dev works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Goldsands Dev Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Goldsands Dev Co on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0003 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000443, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0003.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Goldsands Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Goldsands Dev's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Goldsands Dev Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Goldsands DevGoldsands Dev Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Goldsands Dev Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Goldsands Dev's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Goldsands Dev's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000003 and 14.11, respectively. We have considered Goldsands Dev's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0003
0.000003
Downside
0.0003
Expected Value
14.11
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Goldsands Dev pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Goldsands Dev pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0176
SAESum of the absolute errors3.0E-4
When Goldsands Dev Co prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Goldsands Dev Co trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Goldsands Dev observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Goldsands Dev

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Goldsands Dev. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Goldsands Dev's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000214.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000214.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00020.00020.0002
Details

Goldsands Dev After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Goldsands Dev at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Goldsands Dev or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Goldsands Dev, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Goldsands Dev Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Goldsands Dev's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Goldsands Dev's historical news coverage. Goldsands Dev's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 14.11, respectively. We have considered Goldsands Dev's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.0003
0.0002
After-hype Price
14.11
Upside
Goldsands Dev is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Goldsands Dev is based on 3 months time horizon.

Goldsands Dev Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Goldsands Dev is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Goldsands Dev backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Goldsands Dev, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  2.42 
14.11
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.0003
0.0002
29.24 
0.00  
Notes

Goldsands Dev Hype Timeline

Goldsands Dev is currently traded for 0.0003. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Goldsands is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 2.12E-4. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -29.24%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 2.42%. The volatility of related hype on Goldsands Dev is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.58. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Goldsands Dev recorded a loss per share of 0.16. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 2:1 split on the 4th of October 2005. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Goldsands Dev to cross-verify your projections.

Goldsands Dev Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Goldsands Dev's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Goldsands Dev's future price movements. Getting to know how Goldsands Dev's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Goldsands Dev may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
TYHJFTyhee Gold Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
GRXXFOz Lithium Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.22  164.08  0.00  642.51 
FRMAFirma Holdings Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.12  0.00  0.00  520.00 
PVNNFPV Nano Cell 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.11  0.00  0.00  50.00 
AIVNAmerican International Ventures 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
GRMCGoldrich Mining Co 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.15  0.00  0.00  633.33 
VANTFVantex Resources 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.01  0.00  0.00  197.94 
IPMGInternational Precious Minerals 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
AZGFFAzteca Gold Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
BORKBourque Indts 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 0.00  0.00  100.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Goldsands Dev

For every potential investor in Goldsands, whether a beginner or expert, Goldsands Dev's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Goldsands Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Goldsands. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Goldsands Dev's price trends.

Goldsands Dev Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Goldsands Dev pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Goldsands Dev could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Goldsands Dev by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Goldsands Dev Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Goldsands Dev pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Goldsands Dev shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Goldsands Dev pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Goldsands Dev Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Goldsands Dev Risk Indicators

The analysis of Goldsands Dev's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Goldsands Dev's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting goldsands pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Goldsands Dev

The number of cover stories for Goldsands Dev depends on current market conditions and Goldsands Dev's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Goldsands Dev is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Goldsands Dev's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Goldsands Pink Sheet

Goldsands Dev financial ratios help investors to determine whether Goldsands Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Goldsands with respect to the benefits of owning Goldsands Dev security.