Grupo Empresarial Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| GSJ Stock | EUR 8.28 0.01 0.12% |
Grupo Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Grupo Empresarial stock prices and determine the direction of Grupo Empresarial San's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Grupo Empresarial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of Grupo Empresarial's stock price is about 61. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Grupo, making its price go up or down. Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Grupo Empresarial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Grupo Empresarial San from the perspective of Grupo Empresarial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Grupo Empresarial San on the next trading day is expected to be 8.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.62. Grupo Empresarial after-hype prediction price | EUR 8.28 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Grupo |
Grupo Empresarial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Grupo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Grupo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Grupo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Grupo Empresarial Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Grupo Empresarial San on the next trading day is expected to be 8.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.62.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Grupo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Grupo Empresarial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Grupo Empresarial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Grupo Empresarial | Grupo Empresarial Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Grupo Empresarial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Grupo Empresarial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Grupo Empresarial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.76 and 9.80, respectively. We have considered Grupo Empresarial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Grupo Empresarial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Grupo Empresarial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.7747 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.017 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0921 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0121 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.62 |
Predictive Modules for Grupo Empresarial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grupo Empresarial San. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Grupo Empresarial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Grupo Empresarial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Grupo Empresarial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Grupo Empresarial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Grupo Empresarial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Grupo Empresarial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Grupo Empresarial's historical news coverage. Grupo Empresarial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.76 and 9.80, respectively. We have considered Grupo Empresarial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Grupo Empresarial is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Grupo Empresarial San is based on 3 months time horizon.
Grupo Empresarial Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Grupo Empresarial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Grupo Empresarial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Grupo Empresarial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 1.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
8.28 | 8.28 | 0.00 |
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Grupo Empresarial Hype Timeline
Grupo Empresarial San is currently traded for 8.28on Madrid Exchange of Spain. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Grupo is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.23%. %. The volatility of related hype on Grupo Empresarial is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.28. About 67.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.52. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Grupo Empresarial San last dividend was issued on the 13th of May 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Grupo Empresarial to cross-verify your projections.Grupo Empresarial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Grupo Empresarial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Grupo Empresarial's future price movements. Getting to know how Grupo Empresarial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Grupo Empresarial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OHLA | Obrascon Huarte Lain | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.86 | (4.55) | 15.26 | |
| TLGO | Talgo SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.33 | 0.06 | 3.18 | (2.38) | 13.73 | |
| ENRS | Enerside Energy SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 11.32 | (7.37) | 30.97 | |
| AZK | Azkoyen | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 1.69 | (1.39) | 4.41 | |
| MDF | Duro Felguera | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 5.00 | (5.26) | 16.37 | |
| EZE | Grupo Ezentis SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.53 | (2.42) | 25.08 | |
| GAM | General de Alquiler | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.48 | (0.02) | 4.76 | (2.42) | 12.35 | |
| CLR | CLERHP Estructuras SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.46 | 0.14 | 6.88 | (4.15) | 24.06 | |
| ALQ | Alquiber Quality SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.50 | (0.04) | 0.81 | (0.80) | 4.76 | |
| COM | Catenon SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.88 | (4.50) | 10.71 |
Other Forecasting Options for Grupo Empresarial
For every potential investor in Grupo, whether a beginner or expert, Grupo Empresarial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Grupo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Grupo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Grupo Empresarial's price trends.Grupo Empresarial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Grupo Empresarial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Grupo Empresarial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Grupo Empresarial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Grupo Empresarial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Grupo Empresarial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Grupo Empresarial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Grupo Empresarial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Grupo Empresarial San entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Grupo Empresarial Risk Indicators
The analysis of Grupo Empresarial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Grupo Empresarial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting grupo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9824 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.58 | |||
| Variance | 2.49 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.43 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.9652 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.70) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Grupo Empresarial
The number of cover stories for Grupo Empresarial depends on current market conditions and Grupo Empresarial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Grupo Empresarial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Grupo Empresarial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Grupo Stock
Grupo Empresarial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Grupo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Grupo with respect to the benefits of owning Grupo Empresarial security.