Guanajuato Silver OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

GSVRF Stock  USD 0.14  0.01  6.67%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Guanajuato Silver on the next trading day is expected to be 0.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.54. Guanajuato OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Guanajuato Silver's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Guanajuato Silver is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Guanajuato Silver Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Guanajuato Silver on the next trading day is expected to be 0.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.54.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Guanajuato OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Guanajuato Silver's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Guanajuato Silver OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Guanajuato SilverGuanajuato Silver Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Guanajuato Silver Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Guanajuato Silver's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Guanajuato Silver's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 5.82, respectively. We have considered Guanajuato Silver's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.14
0.14
Expected Value
5.82
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Guanajuato Silver otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Guanajuato Silver otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria105.4476
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 3.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0091
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0521
SAESum of the absolute errors0.535
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Guanajuato Silver price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Guanajuato Silver. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Guanajuato Silver

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guanajuato Silver. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.145.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.145.86
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Guanajuato Silver

For every potential investor in Guanajuato, whether a beginner or expert, Guanajuato Silver's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Guanajuato OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Guanajuato. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Guanajuato Silver's price trends.

Guanajuato Silver Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Guanajuato Silver otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Guanajuato Silver could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Guanajuato Silver by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Guanajuato Silver Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Guanajuato Silver's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Guanajuato Silver's current price.

Guanajuato Silver Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Guanajuato Silver otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Guanajuato Silver shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Guanajuato Silver otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Guanajuato Silver entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Guanajuato Silver Risk Indicators

The analysis of Guanajuato Silver's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Guanajuato Silver's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting guanajuato otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Guanajuato OTC Stock

Guanajuato Silver financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guanajuato OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guanajuato with respect to the benefits of owning Guanajuato Silver security.