Goodyear Tire Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| GT Stock | USD 9.61 0.06 0.63% |
Goodyear Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Goodyear Tire's stock price is slightly above 63. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Goodyear, making its price go up or down. Momentum 63
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.161 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.4453 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.5607 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.1052 | Wall Street Target Price 9.6375 |
Using Goodyear Tire hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Goodyear Tire Rubber from the perspective of Goodyear Tire response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Goodyear Tire using Goodyear Tire's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Goodyear using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Goodyear Tire's stock price.
Goodyear Tire Short Interest
An investor who is long Goodyear Tire may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Goodyear Tire and may potentially protect profits, hedge Goodyear Tire with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 9.2668 | Short Percent 0.1047 | Short Ratio 4.31 | Shares Short Prior Month 23.9 M | 50 Day MA 8.6656 |
Goodyear Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Goodyear Tire Rubber on the next trading day is expected to be 9.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.67.Goodyear Tire Rubber Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Goodyear Tire's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Goodyear. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Goodyear can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Goodyear Tire Rubber. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Goodyear Tire's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Goodyear Tire.
Goodyear Tire Implied Volatility | 0.61 |
Goodyear Tire's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Goodyear Tire Rubber stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Goodyear Tire's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Goodyear Tire stock will not fluctuate a lot when Goodyear Tire's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Goodyear Tire Rubber on the next trading day is expected to be 9.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.67. Goodyear Tire after-hype prediction price | USD 9.57 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Goodyear Tire to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Goodyear contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Goodyear Tire Rubber will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0381% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Goodyear Tire trading at USD 9.61, that is roughly USD 0.003664 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Goodyear Tire's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Goodyear Tire Rubber options at the current volatility level of 0.61%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Goodyear Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Goodyear Tire's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Goodyear Tire's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Goodyear Tire stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Goodyear Tire's open interest, investors have to compare it to Goodyear Tire's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Goodyear Tire is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Goodyear. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Goodyear Tire Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Goodyear price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Goodyear using various technical indicators. When you analyze Goodyear charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Goodyear Tire's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1985-12-31 | Previous Quarter 785 M | Current Value 810 M | Quarterly Volatility 816.2 M |
Goodyear Tire Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Goodyear Tire Rubber on the next trading day is expected to be 9.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.67.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Goodyear Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Goodyear Tire's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Goodyear Tire Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Goodyear Tire | Goodyear Tire Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Goodyear Tire Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Goodyear Tire's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Goodyear Tire's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.23 and 12.42, respectively. We have considered Goodyear Tire's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Goodyear Tire stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Goodyear Tire stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.9299 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1585 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0191 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 9.6658 |
Predictive Modules for Goodyear Tire
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Goodyear Tire Rubber. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Goodyear Tire's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Goodyear Tire After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Goodyear Tire at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Goodyear Tire or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Goodyear Tire, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Goodyear Tire Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Goodyear Tire's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Goodyear Tire's historical news coverage. Goodyear Tire's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.98 and 12.16, respectively. We have considered Goodyear Tire's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Goodyear Tire is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Goodyear Tire Rubber is based on 3 months time horizon.
Goodyear Tire Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Goodyear Tire is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Goodyear Tire backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Goodyear Tire, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.53 | 2.59 | 0.04 | 0.10 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
9.61 | 9.57 | 0.42 |
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Goodyear Tire Hype Timeline
As of January 26, 2026 Goodyear Tire Rubber is listed for 9.61. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. Goodyear is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 9.57. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.42%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.53%. The volatility of related hype on Goodyear Tire is about 1314.72%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.71. About 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.92. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Goodyear Tire Rubber has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.67. The entity recorded a loss per share of 6.02. The firm last dividend was issued on the 31st of January 2020. Goodyear Tire had 2:1 split on the 5th of May 1993. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Goodyear Tire to cross-verify your projections.Goodyear Tire Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Goodyear Tire's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Goodyear Tire's future price movements. Getting to know how Goodyear Tire's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Goodyear Tire may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ADNT | Adient PLC | (0.18) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.13 | (5.12) | 21.07 | |
| PHIN | PHINIA Inc | 1.64 | 9 per month | 1.11 | 0.21 | 3.13 | (2.48) | 6.35 | |
| PSNY | Polestar Automotive Holding | 1.03 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 12.04 | (14.88) | 34.99 | |
| CCS | Century Communities | (0.39) | 11 per month | 1.97 | 0.03 | 6.84 | (3.74) | 13.29 | |
| BLBD | Blue Bird Corp | 0.03 | 20 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.18 | (3.51) | 12.97 | |
| GTX | Garrett Motion | 0.09 | 8 per month | 1.17 | 0.16 | 3.18 | (2.62) | 23.25 | |
| LCII | LCI Industries | (0.16) | 9 per month | 0.15 | 0.33 | 5.33 | (1.91) | 10.42 | |
| KSS | Kohls | 0.06 | 11 per month | 3.23 | 0.04 | 5.38 | (5.71) | 49.53 | |
| OI | O I Glass | 0.03 | 10 per month | 1.77 | 0.12 | 4.16 | (3.38) | 18.50 | |
| MODG | MODG Old | (0.18) | 2 per month | 2.56 | 0.20 | 8.81 | (3.96) | 23.39 |
Other Forecasting Options for Goodyear Tire
For every potential investor in Goodyear, whether a beginner or expert, Goodyear Tire's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Goodyear Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Goodyear. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Goodyear Tire's price trends.Goodyear Tire Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Goodyear Tire stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Goodyear Tire could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Goodyear Tire by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Goodyear Tire Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Goodyear Tire stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Goodyear Tire shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Goodyear Tire stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Goodyear Tire Rubber entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Goodyear Tire Risk Indicators
The analysis of Goodyear Tire's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Goodyear Tire's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting goodyear stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.9 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.37 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.56 | |||
| Variance | 6.54 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.04 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.87 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.36) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Goodyear Tire
The number of cover stories for Goodyear Tire depends on current market conditions and Goodyear Tire's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Goodyear Tire is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Goodyear Tire's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Goodyear Tire Short Properties
Goodyear Tire's future price predictability will typically decrease when Goodyear Tire's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Goodyear Tire Rubber often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Goodyear Tire's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Goodyear Tire's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 288 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 810 M |
Additional Tools for Goodyear Stock Analysis
When running Goodyear Tire's price analysis, check to measure Goodyear Tire's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Goodyear Tire is operating at the current time. Most of Goodyear Tire's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Goodyear Tire's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Goodyear Tire's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Goodyear Tire to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.