Strategic Equity Mutual Fund Forward View - Simple Regression
| GTCEX Fund | USD 25.28 0.06 0.24% |
Strategic Mutual Fund outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Strategic Equity's share price is at 51. This usually indicates that the mutual fund is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Strategic Equity, making its price go up or down. Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Strategic Equity hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Strategic Equity Portfolio from the perspective of Strategic Equity response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Strategic Equity Portfolio on the next trading day is expected to be 25.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.41. Strategic Equity after-hype prediction price | USD 25.34 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Strategic |
Strategic Equity Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Strategic price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Strategic using various technical indicators. When you analyze Strategic charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Strategic Equity Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Strategic Equity Portfolio on the next trading day is expected to be 25.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.41.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Strategic Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Strategic Equity's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Strategic Equity Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Strategic Equity | Strategic Equity Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Strategic Equity Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Strategic Equity's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Strategic Equity's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.04 and 26.48, respectively. We have considered Strategic Equity's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Strategic Equity mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Strategic Equity mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.1978 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2002 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0081 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.4101 |
Predictive Modules for Strategic Equity
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Strategic Equity Por. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Strategic Equity's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Strategic Equity After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Strategic Equity at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Strategic Equity or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Strategic Equity, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Strategic Equity Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Strategic Equity's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Strategic Equity's historical news coverage. Strategic Equity's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.62 and 26.06, respectively. We have considered Strategic Equity's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Strategic Equity is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Strategic Equity Por is based on 3 months time horizon.
Strategic Equity Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Strategic Equity is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Strategic Equity backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Strategic Equity, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 0.72 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
25.28 | 25.34 | 0.00 |
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Strategic Equity Hype Timeline
Strategic Equity Por is currently traded for 25.28. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. Strategic is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Strategic Equity is about 234.53%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.26. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Strategic Equity to cross-verify your projections.Strategic Equity Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Strategic Equity's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Strategic Equity's future price movements. Getting to know how Strategic Equity's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Strategic Equity may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MDFSX | Disciplined Value Series | (0.01) | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.20 | 1.60 | (0.87) | 8.58 | |
| MNDFX | Disciplined Value Series | 1.62 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.20 | 1.71 | (0.92) | 7.96 | |
| HFLGX | Hennessy Nerstone Large | (0.04) | 1 per month | 0.56 | 0.10 | 1.75 | (1.12) | 7.06 | |
| ECEOX | Lazard Emerging Markets | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.07 | 0.15 | 1.10 | (0.82) | 2.52 | |
| LZCOX | Lazard Small Mid Cap | 0.1 | 1 per month | 0.99 | 0.06 | 2.11 | (2.02) | 5.51 | |
| DTLVX | Large Pany Value | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.25 | 0.13 | 1.46 | (1.12) | 13.14 | |
| CILGX | Clarkston Fund Institutional | (4.86) | 5 per month | 0.77 | (0.02) | 1.48 | (1.45) | 4.58 | |
| GCINX | Green Century Msci | 0.12 | 1 per month | 0.73 | 0.03 | 1.27 | (1.38) | 3.36 | |
| GCIFX | Green Century Msci | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.73 | 0.03 | 1.28 | (1.39) | 3.38 | |
| WEIMX | Teton Westwood Mighty | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.14 | 2.13 | (1.39) | 29.38 |
Other Forecasting Options for Strategic Equity
For every potential investor in Strategic, whether a beginner or expert, Strategic Equity's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Strategic Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Strategic. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Strategic Equity's price trends.Strategic Equity Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Strategic Equity mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Strategic Equity could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Strategic Equity by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Strategic Equity Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Strategic Equity mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Strategic Equity shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Strategic Equity mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Strategic Equity Portfolio entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 25.28 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 25.28 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.03) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.06) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 51.74 |
Strategic Equity Risk Indicators
The analysis of Strategic Equity's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Strategic Equity's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting strategic mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.5616 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.6387 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.7061 | |||
| Variance | 0.4986 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.5374 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.4079 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.62) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Strategic Equity
The number of cover stories for Strategic Equity depends on current market conditions and Strategic Equity's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Strategic Equity is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Strategic Equity's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Strategic Mutual Fund
Strategic Equity financial ratios help investors to determine whether Strategic Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Strategic with respect to the benefits of owning Strategic Equity security.
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