Gran Tierra Stock Forward View - 20 Period Moving Average
| GTE Stock | USD 9.15 0.39 4.45% |
The 20 Period Moving Average output for Gran Tierra Energy is derived from daily price data across the evaluation window. The error pattern reveals whether the model tracked prices consistently or diverged during volatile sessions. Parameters are re-estimated as new trading sessions are recorded, keeping the forecast current. The 20 Period Moving Average model projects Gran Tierra at 8.71 for the next trading day, below the most recent closing price. Gran Tierra's 20 Period Moving Average forecast is intended for short-term analytical reference.
20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 11th of May 2026
Over a 90-day horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average model forecasts Gran Tierra at 8.71 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.77 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.09 , and sum of absolute errors of 31.66 .This indicates moderate forecast accuracy — the model captures the general trend but not all short-term variation in Gran Tierra's price. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Gran Tierra | Gran Tierra Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast range for Gran Tierra defines statistically derived downside and upside boundaries based on model performance. The forecast band spans 4.10 to 13.33. The wide range indicates elevated uncertainty in short-term projections.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the 20 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for Gran Tierra stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 81.1137 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.4884 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7723 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0902 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 31.664 |
Other Forecasting Options for Gran Tierra
Volatility clustering is a well-documented feature of Gran Tierra Stock price data where periods of large moves tend to follow other large moves. When Gran Tierra's RSI reaches extreme levels, it often precedes a short-term price correction or consolidation. Seasonal patterns in Gran Tierra's returns tend to persist when driven by structural factors like earnings calendars or index rebalancing.Gran Tierra Related Equities
These stocks within the Energy space are often compared to Gran Tierra by analysts and fund managers in the sector. Revenue and margin checks across this group help investors set expectations for Gran Tierra's results. A stock that beats its peers on many metrics often deserves a closer look from value-focused investors.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Gran Tierra Market Strength Events
Accumulation/Distribution and Balance of Power for Gran Tierra reveal whether buying or selling pressure dominates recent sessions. Balance of Power trending positive indicates that buyers are consistently closing Gran Tierra near session highs. These signals help explain whether price direction and session structure are moving together for Gran Tierra.
Gran Tierra Risk Indicators
Risk indicator analysis for Gran Tierra quantifies how much price variability the stock has exhibited over the measurement window. Downside variance exceeding total variance indicates that negative moves in Gran Tierra have been larger or more frequent than positive ones. Mean deviation provides a more intuitive measure of typical price fluctuation than variance because it stays in the same units as Gran Tierra's price.
| Mean Deviation | 3.52 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.58 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.68 | |||
| Variance | 21.93 | |||
| Downside Variance | 32.17 | |||
| Semi Variance | 21.0 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -3.66 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Gran Tierra Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Gran Tierra Energy matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. The practical goal is to identify when the balance between long and short participation may be changing the quality of the setup.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 35.44 million | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 82.93 million |