Gentech Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

GTEH Stock  USD 0.0002  0.00  0.00%   
Gentech Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Gentech Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Gentech Holdings' share price is below 30 as of 28th of January 2026. This usually indicates that the pink sheet is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Gentech Holdings, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 29

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Gentech Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Gentech Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Gentech Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gentech Holdings from the perspective of Gentech Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Gentech Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.28.

Gentech Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.97E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gentech Holdings to cross-verify your projections.

Gentech Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Gentech price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gentech using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gentech charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Gentech Holdings is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Gentech Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Gentech Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Gentech Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000055, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.28.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gentech Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gentech Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Gentech Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Gentech Holdings  Gentech Holdings Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Gentech Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Gentech Holdings' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Gentech Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000002 and 257.89, respectively. We have considered Gentech Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0002
0.000002
Downside
0
Expected Value
257.89
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gentech Holdings pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gentech Holdings pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.3105
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0045
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors0.2773
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Gentech Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Gentech Holdings. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Gentech Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gentech Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gentech Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000250.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000250.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
-0.00160.00060
Details

Gentech Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Gentech Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gentech Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Gentech Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Gentech Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Gentech Holdings' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gentech Holdings' historical news coverage. Gentech Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 50.01, respectively. We have considered Gentech Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.0002
0.0002
After-hype Price
50.01
Upside
Gentech Holdings is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gentech Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Gentech Holdings Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gentech Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gentech Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gentech Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  69.83 
257.89
 0.00  
 0.00  
3 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.0002
0.0002
1.41 
0.00  
Notes

Gentech Holdings Hype Timeline

Gentech Holdings is currently traded for 0.0002. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Gentech is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.97E-4. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.41%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 69.83%. The volatility of related hype on Gentech Holdings is about 6.44725E8%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company last dividend was issued on the 21st of November 2018. Gentech Holdings had 1:7000 split on the 21st of November 2018. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gentech Holdings to cross-verify your projections.

Gentech Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Gentech Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gentech Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Gentech Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gentech Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
COFECoffeesmiths Collective 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ELIOElio Motors(0.0004)1 per month 0.00  0.03  0.00  0.00  166.67 
EBETEbet Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.1  100.00 (50.00) 266.67 
ELYSElys Game Technology 0.00 0 per month 25.93  0.20  150.00 (60.00) 266.67 
RIBSSouthern Concepts Restaurant 0.00 4 per month 0.00  0.05  0.00  0.00  150.00 
WESCWE Source Corp 0.00 4 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
OMVEOmni Ventures 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
SPMISpeedemissions 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
LASLYLentuo International ADR 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
SCRHScores Hldg Co 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Gentech Holdings

For every potential investor in Gentech, whether a beginner or expert, Gentech Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Gentech Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Gentech. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Gentech Holdings' price trends.

Gentech Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gentech Holdings pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gentech Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gentech Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Gentech Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gentech Holdings pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gentech Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gentech Holdings pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Gentech Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Gentech Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Gentech Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gentech Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gentech pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Gentech Holdings

The number of cover stories for Gentech Holdings depends on current market conditions and Gentech Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gentech Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gentech Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Gentech Pink Sheet

Gentech Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gentech Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gentech with respect to the benefits of owning Gentech Holdings security.