Chart Industries Preferred Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

GTLS-PB Preferred Stock   71.91  2.01  2.88%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Chart Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 68.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 92.54. Chart Preferred Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Chart Industries stock prices and determine the direction of Chart Industries's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Chart Industries' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Chart Industries is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Chart Industries value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Chart Industries Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Chart Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 68.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.52, mean absolute percentage error of 3.97, and the sum of the absolute errors of 92.54.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Chart Preferred Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Chart Industries' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Chart Industries Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Chart IndustriesChart Industries Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Chart Industries Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Chart Industries' Preferred Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Chart Industries' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 66.21 and 71.03, respectively. We have considered Chart Industries' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
71.91
68.62
Expected Value
71.03
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Chart Industries preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Chart Industries preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.4899
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.5171
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0271
SAESum of the absolute errors92.5435
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Chart Industries. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Chart Industries. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Chart Industries

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chart Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
69.4871.9174.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
64.7276.8379.26
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Chart Industries

For every potential investor in Chart, whether a beginner or expert, Chart Industries' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Chart Preferred Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Chart. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Chart Industries' price trends.

Chart Industries Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Chart Industries preferred stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Chart Industries could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Chart Industries by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Chart Industries Technical and Predictive Analytics

The preferred stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Chart Industries' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Chart Industries' current price.

Chart Industries Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Chart Industries preferred stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Chart Industries shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Chart Industries preferred stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Chart Industries entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Chart Industries Risk Indicators

The analysis of Chart Industries' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Chart Industries' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting chart preferred stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Chart Preferred Stock

Chart Industries financial ratios help investors to determine whether Chart Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Chart with respect to the benefits of owning Chart Industries security.