Gantos Etf Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| GTOS Etf | 25.12 0.02 0.08% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Gantos Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 25.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.69. Gantos Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of Gantos' share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Gantos hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gantos Inc from the perspective of Gantos response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Gantos Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 25.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.69. Gantos after-hype prediction price | USD 25.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out fundamental analysis of Gantos to check your projections. Gantos Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gantos price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gantos using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gantos charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Gantos Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Gantos Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 25.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0003, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.69.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gantos Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gantos' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Gantos Etf Forecast Pattern
Gantos Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Gantos' Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Gantos' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.06 and 25.18, respectively. We have considered Gantos' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gantos etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gantos etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 108.0114 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0035 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0115 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 5.0E-4 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.69 |
Predictive Modules for Gantos
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gantos Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Gantos Estimiated After-Hype Price Prediction Volatility
As far as predicting the price of Gantos at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gantos or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Gantos, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gantos Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Gantos is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gantos backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gantos, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
25.12 | 25.14 | 0.00 |
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Gantos Hype Timeline
Gantos Inc is currently traded for 25.12. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Gantos is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Gantos is about 176.47%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.12. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Gantos Inc had 1:6 split on the 29th of November 2017. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be very soon. Check out fundamental analysis of Gantos to check your projections.Gantos Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gantos' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gantos' future price movements. Getting to know how Gantos' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gantos may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TPLS | Thornburg Core Plus | (0.01) | 4 per month | 0.21 | (0.54) | 0.24 | (0.32) | 0.83 | |
| GBND | Goldman Sachs ETF | 0.01 | 3 per month | 0.17 | (0.54) | 0.26 | (0.29) | 0.69 | |
| UST | ProShares Ultra 7 10 | (0.22) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.31) | 0.55 | (0.85) | 2.11 | |
| STXM | EA Series Trust | 0.07 | 1 per month | 0.82 | 0.04 | 1.58 | (1.47) | 3.63 | |
| MEDI | Harbor Health Care | (0.36) | 4 per month | 0.83 | 0.03 | 2.10 | (1.54) | 5.35 | |
| CCEF | Calamos ETF Trust | 0.02 | 2 per month | 0.26 | (0.07) | 0.71 | (0.60) | 1.95 | |
| GPT | Intelligent Alpha Atlas | 0.16 | 8 per month | 0.97 | (0.05) | 1.44 | (1.67) | 4.13 | |
| TSLP | Kurv Yield Premium | 0.01 | 2 per month | 2.58 | (0.01) | 3.52 | (4.16) | 10.72 | |
| BETH | ProShares Trust | 0.65 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 4.57 | (4.92) | 13.63 | |
| TFJL | Innovator Long Term | 0.01 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.35) | 0.55 | (0.91) | 1.97 |
Other Forecasting Options for Gantos
For every potential investor in Gantos, whether a beginner or expert, Gantos' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Gantos Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Gantos. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Gantos' price trends.Gantos Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gantos etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gantos could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gantos by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Gantos Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gantos etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gantos shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gantos etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Gantos Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 14.93 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.00) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 25.11 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 25.11 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.02) |
Gantos Risk Indicators
The analysis of Gantos' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gantos' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gantos etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.0485 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.0661 | |||
| Variance | 0.0044 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0061 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.02) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.07) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Gantos
The number of cover stories for Gantos depends on current market conditions and Gantos' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gantos is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gantos' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out fundamental analysis of Gantos to check your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
The market value of Gantos Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gantos that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gantos' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gantos' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gantos' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gantos' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gantos' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gantos is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gantos' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.