Garrett Motion Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| GTX Stock | USD 18.14 0.18 1.00% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Garrett Motion on the next trading day is expected to be 18.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.89 and the sum of the absolute errors of 55.08. Garrett Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Garrett Motion's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.588 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.3586 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.5483 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.8847 | Wall Street Target Price 20.8 |
Using Garrett Motion hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Garrett Motion from the perspective of Garrett Motion response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Garrett Motion using Garrett Motion's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Garrett using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Garrett Motion's stock price.
Garrett Motion Short Interest
An investor who is long Garrett Motion may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Garrett Motion and may potentially protect profits, hedge Garrett Motion with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 12.7908 | Short Percent 0.1083 | Short Ratio 4.25 | Shares Short Prior Month 8.6 M | 50 Day MA 16.936 |
Garrett Motion Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Garrett Motion's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Garrett. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Garrett can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Garrett Motion. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Garrett Motion's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Garrett Motion.
Garrett Motion Implied Volatility | 0.45 |
Garrett Motion's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Garrett Motion stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Garrett Motion's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Garrett Motion stock will not fluctuate a lot when Garrett Motion's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Garrett Motion on the next trading day is expected to be 18.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.89 and the sum of the absolute errors of 55.08. Garrett Motion after-hype prediction price | USD 17.83 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Garrett Motion to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Garrett Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Garrett Motion's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Garrett Motion's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Garrett Motion stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Garrett Motion's open interest, investors have to compare it to Garrett Motion's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Garrett Motion is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Garrett. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Garrett Motion Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Garrett price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Garrett using various technical indicators. When you analyze Garrett charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Garrett Motion Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 8th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Garrett Motion on the next trading day is expected to be 18.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.89, mean absolute percentage error of 1.39, and the sum of the absolute errors of 55.08.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Garrett Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Garrett Motion's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Garrett Motion Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Garrett Motion | Garrett Motion Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Garrett Motion Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Garrett Motion's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Garrett Motion's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.00 and 21.70, respectively. We have considered Garrett Motion's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Garrett Motion stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Garrett Motion stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.2801 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8883 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0584 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 55.0759 |
Predictive Modules for Garrett Motion
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Garrett Motion. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Garrett Motion's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Garrett Motion
For every potential investor in Garrett, whether a beginner or expert, Garrett Motion's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Garrett Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Garrett. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Garrett Motion's price trends.Garrett Motion Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Garrett Motion stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Garrett Motion could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Garrett Motion by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Garrett Motion Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Garrett Motion's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Garrett Motion's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Garrett Motion Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Garrett Motion stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Garrett Motion shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Garrett Motion stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Garrett Motion entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 66139.71 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.3158 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 17.88 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 17.96 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.36 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.18 |
Garrett Motion Risk Indicators
The analysis of Garrett Motion's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Garrett Motion's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting garrett stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.72 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.18 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.28 | |||
| Variance | 10.76 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.36 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.39 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.38) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| JBL | Jabil Circuit | |
| MRK | Merck Company | |
| AMGN | Amgen Inc |
Additional Tools for Garrett Stock Analysis
When running Garrett Motion's price analysis, check to measure Garrett Motion's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Garrett Motion is operating at the current time. Most of Garrett Motion's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Garrett Motion's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Garrett Motion's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Garrett Motion to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.