GUILD ESPORTS Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| GU0 Stock | EUR 0.01 0 8.33% |
GUILD Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of GUILD ESPORTS's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 8th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of GUILD ESPORTS's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.43) |
Using GUILD ESPORTS hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GUILD ESPORTS PLC from the perspective of GUILD ESPORTS response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of GUILD ESPORTS PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.16. GUILD ESPORTS after-hype prediction price | EUR 0.01 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
GUILD |
GUILD ESPORTS Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine GUILD price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GUILD using various technical indicators. When you analyze GUILD charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
GUILD ESPORTS Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 9th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of GUILD ESPORTS PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000013, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.16.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GUILD Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that GUILD ESPORTS's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
GUILD ESPORTS Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest GUILD ESPORTS | GUILD ESPORTS Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
GUILD ESPORTS Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting GUILD ESPORTS's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. GUILD ESPORTS's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 76.60, respectively. We have considered GUILD ESPORTS's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of GUILD ESPORTS stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent GUILD ESPORTS stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 106.8352 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0025 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.263 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.1552 |
Predictive Modules for GUILD ESPORTS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GUILD ESPORTS PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.GUILD ESPORTS After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of GUILD ESPORTS at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GUILD ESPORTS or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of GUILD ESPORTS, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
GUILD ESPORTS Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting GUILD ESPORTS's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GUILD ESPORTS's historical news coverage. GUILD ESPORTS's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 50.56, respectively. We have considered GUILD ESPORTS's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
GUILD ESPORTS is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of GUILD ESPORTS PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
GUILD ESPORTS Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as GUILD ESPORTS is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GUILD ESPORTS backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GUILD ESPORTS, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
11.27 | 76.59 | 0.00 | 0.32 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.01 | 0.01 | 9.09 |
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GUILD ESPORTS Hype Timeline
GUILD ESPORTS PLC is currently traded for 0.01on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.32. GUILD is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.01. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -9.09%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 11.27%. The volatility of related hype on GUILD ESPORTS is about 266400.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.33. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.01. GUILD ESPORTS PLC had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GUILD ESPORTS to cross-verify your projections.GUILD ESPORTS Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to GUILD ESPORTS's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GUILD ESPORTS's future price movements. Getting to know how GUILD ESPORTS's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GUILD ESPORTS may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HLIA | Nicola Mining | 0.02 | 4 per month | 3.50 | 0.05 | 7.84 | (7.55) | 24.88 | |
| 02G | Guangzhou Automobile Group | (0.01) | 4 per month | 2.35 | 0.06 | 5.88 | (4.55) | 22.05 | |
| 4GF | Grupo Carso SAB | 0.1 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 5.36 | (3.45) | 20.23 | |
| O3V | Global Education Communities | 0.00 | 5 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 5.00 | (4.55) | 10.26 | |
| 5PMA | GREENX METALS LTD | 0.02 | 5 per month | 3.11 | 0.09 | 7.55 | (6.12) | 29.12 | |
| LA3A | Laureate Education | 0.20 | 9 per month | 2.42 | (0) | 3.45 | (3.38) | 10.87 | |
| US8 | MCEWEN MINING INC | (0.1) | 10 per month | 4.45 | 0.08 | 8.75 | (8.04) | 19.82 | |
| GRU | GEELY AUTOMOBILE | 0.00 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 2.15 | (2.65) | 6.98 |
Other Forecasting Options for GUILD ESPORTS
For every potential investor in GUILD, whether a beginner or expert, GUILD ESPORTS's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. GUILD Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in GUILD. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying GUILD ESPORTS's price trends.GUILD ESPORTS Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with GUILD ESPORTS stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of GUILD ESPORTS could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GUILD ESPORTS by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
GUILD ESPORTS Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how GUILD ESPORTS stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading GUILD ESPORTS shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying GUILD ESPORTS stock market strength indicators, traders can identify GUILD ESPORTS PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
GUILD ESPORTS Risk Indicators
The analysis of GUILD ESPORTS's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in GUILD ESPORTS's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting guild stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 34.6 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 17.17 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 80.74 | |||
| Variance | 6519.26 | |||
| Downside Variance | 677.64 | |||
| Semi Variance | 294.85 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (76.91) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for GUILD ESPORTS
The number of cover stories for GUILD ESPORTS depends on current market conditions and GUILD ESPORTS's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that GUILD ESPORTS is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about GUILD ESPORTS's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in GUILD Stock
GUILD ESPORTS financial ratios help investors to determine whether GUILD Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GUILD with respect to the benefits of owning GUILD ESPORTS security.