GUD Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| GUDDY Stock | USD 11.44 0.00 0.00% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of GUD Holdings Ltd on the next trading day is expected to be 11.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. GUD Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
GUD |
GUD Holdings Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of GUD Holdings Ltd on the next trading day is expected to be 11.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GUD Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that GUD Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
GUD Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest GUD Holdings | GUD Holdings Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
GUD Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting GUD Holdings' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. GUD Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.44 and 11.44, respectively. We have considered GUD Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of GUD Holdings pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent GUD Holdings pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | -9.223372036854776E14 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for GUD Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GUD Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GUD Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for GUD Holdings
For every potential investor in GUD, whether a beginner or expert, GUD Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. GUD Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in GUD. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying GUD Holdings' price trends.GUD Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with GUD Holdings pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of GUD Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GUD Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
GUD Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics
The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of GUD Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of GUD Holdings' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
GUD Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how GUD Holdings pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading GUD Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying GUD Holdings pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify GUD Holdings Ltd entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for GUD Pink Sheet Analysis
When running GUD Holdings' price analysis, check to measure GUD Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GUD Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of GUD Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GUD Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GUD Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GUD Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.