Gulf Keystone Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

Gulf Keystone simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Gulf Keystone Petroleum are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Gulf Keystone Petroleum prices get older.

Gulf Keystone Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Gulf Keystone Petroleum on the next trading day is expected to be 1.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.48.

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gulf Keystone pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gulf Keystone pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Gulf Keystone Petroleum forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Gulf Keystone observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Gulf Keystone

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gulf Keystone Petroleum. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 0.09 1.79 6.22 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 0.07 1.46 5.89 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 1.52 1.74 1.96 Details

Other Forecasting Options for Gulf Keystone

For every potential investor in Gulf, whether a beginner or expert, Gulf Keystone's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Gulf Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Gulf. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Gulf Keystone's price trends.

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Gulf Keystone Petroleum Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Gulf Keystone's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Gulf Keystone's current price.

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