Gulf Coast Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| GULTU Stock | USD 0.05 0 8.00% |
Gulf Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Gulf Coast's share price is at 53. This usually indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Gulf Coast, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Gulf Coast hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gulf Coast from the perspective of Gulf Coast response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Gulf Coast on the next trading day is expected to be 0.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.10. Gulf Coast after-hype prediction price | USD 0.05 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Gulf |
Gulf Coast Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gulf price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gulf using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gulf charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Gulf Coast Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Gulf Coast on the next trading day is expected to be 0.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000014, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.10.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gulf Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gulf Coast's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Gulf Coast Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Gulf Coast | Gulf Coast Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Gulf Coast Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Gulf Coast's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Gulf Coast's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0005 and 8.27, respectively. We have considered Gulf Coast's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gulf Coast pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gulf Coast pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 105.129 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -2.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0017 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0415 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.102 |
Predictive Modules for Gulf Coast
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gulf Coast. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gulf Coast's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gulf Coast After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gulf Coast at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gulf Coast or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Gulf Coast, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gulf Coast Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gulf Coast's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gulf Coast's historical news coverage. Gulf Coast's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 8.28, respectively. We have considered Gulf Coast's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gulf Coast is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gulf Coast is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gulf Coast Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gulf Coast is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gulf Coast backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gulf Coast, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.91 | 8.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.05 | 0.05 | 8.70 |
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Gulf Coast Hype Timeline
Gulf Coast is currently traded for 0.05. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Gulf is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.05 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price appreciation on the next news is estimated to be 8.7%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.91%. The volatility of related hype on Gulf Coast is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.05. The company has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.5234 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.5234 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on equity (ROE) of 1.6569 %, meaning that it generated $1.6569 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Gulf Coast's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Gulf Coast manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gulf Coast to cross-verify your projections.Gulf Coast Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gulf Coast's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gulf Coast's future price movements. Getting to know how Gulf Coast's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gulf Coast may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ROYTL | Pacific Coast Oil | 0.00 | 0 per month | 14.04 | 0.12 | 20.00 | (16.67) | 1,606 | |
| SDTTU | SandRidge Mississippian Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.31) | 5.26 | (1,000.00) | 1,000.00 | |
| ECTM | ECA Marcellus Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.42 | 0.05 | 10.87 | (6.00) | 25.50 | |
| TISDZ | Treasure Island Royalty | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| HGTXU | Hugoton Royalty Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.43 | 0.03 | 10.34 | (8.57) | 38.03 | |
| CHKR | Chesapeake Granite Wash | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.76 | (4.65) | 18.45 |
Other Forecasting Options for Gulf Coast
For every potential investor in Gulf, whether a beginner or expert, Gulf Coast's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Gulf Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Gulf. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Gulf Coast's price trends.Gulf Coast Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gulf Coast pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gulf Coast could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gulf Coast by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Gulf Coast Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gulf Coast pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gulf Coast shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gulf Coast pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Gulf Coast entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Gulf Coast Risk Indicators
The analysis of Gulf Coast's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gulf Coast's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gulf pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.39 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.74 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.91 | |||
| Variance | 62.51 | |||
| Downside Variance | 79.24 | |||
| Semi Variance | 22.45 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (11.20) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Gulf Coast
The number of cover stories for Gulf Coast depends on current market conditions and Gulf Coast's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gulf Coast is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gulf Coast's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Gulf Coast Short Properties
Gulf Coast's future price predictability will typically decrease when Gulf Coast's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gulf Coast often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gulf Coast's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gulf Coast's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 230.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.8 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.01 |
Additional Tools for Gulf Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Gulf Coast's price analysis, check to measure Gulf Coast's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gulf Coast is operating at the current time. Most of Gulf Coast's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gulf Coast's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gulf Coast's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gulf Coast to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.