Gulf Resources Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| GURE Stock | USD 4.43 0.32 6.74% |
Gulf Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Gulf Resources stock prices and determine the direction of Gulf Resources Common's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Gulf Resources' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Gulf Resources' share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.662 | Wall Street Target Price 14.5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 2.501 |
Using Gulf Resources hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gulf Resources Common from the perspective of Gulf Resources response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Gulf Resources using Gulf Resources' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Gulf using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Gulf Resources' stock price.
Gulf Resources Implied Volatility | 1.01 |
Gulf Resources' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Gulf Resources Common stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Gulf Resources' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Gulf Resources stock will not fluctuate a lot when Gulf Resources' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Gulf Resources Common on the next trading day is expected to be 4.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.96. Gulf Resources after-hype prediction price | USD 3.42 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gulf Resources to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Gulf Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Gulf Resources' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Gulf Resources' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Gulf Resources stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Gulf Resources' open interest, investors have to compare it to Gulf Resources' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Gulf Resources is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Gulf. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Gulf Resources Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gulf price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gulf using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gulf charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Gulf Resources Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Gulf Resources Common on the next trading day is expected to be 4.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39, mean absolute percentage error of 0.51, and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.96.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gulf Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gulf Resources' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Gulf Resources Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Gulf Resources | Gulf Resources Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Gulf Resources Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Gulf Resources' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Gulf Resources' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 21.08, respectively. We have considered Gulf Resources' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gulf Resources stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gulf Resources stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.7606 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 7.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3892 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0889 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 22.96 |
Predictive Modules for Gulf Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gulf Resources Common. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Gulf Resources After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gulf Resources at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gulf Resources or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Gulf Resources, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gulf Resources Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gulf Resources' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gulf Resources' historical news coverage. Gulf Resources' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.17 and 19.92, respectively. We have considered Gulf Resources' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gulf Resources is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gulf Resources Common is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gulf Resources Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gulf Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gulf Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gulf Resources, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.30 | 16.50 | 1.01 | 0.17 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.43 | 3.42 | 22.80 |
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Gulf Resources Hype Timeline
Gulf Resources Common is currently traded for 4.43. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.17. Gulf is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 3.42. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -22.8%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.3%. The volatility of related hype on Gulf Resources is about 12890.63%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.26. About 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.07. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Gulf Resources Common recorded a loss per share of 24.6. The entity last dividend was issued on the 28th of January 2020. The firm had 1:10 split on the 27th of October 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gulf Resources to cross-verify your projections.Gulf Resources Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gulf Resources' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gulf Resources' future price movements. Getting to know how Gulf Resources' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gulf Resources may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WTTR | Select Energy Services | (0.08) | 9 per month | 2.07 | 0.02 | 5.05 | (3.19) | 12.71 | |
| WLK | Westlake Chemical | 0.07 | 6 per month | 1.87 | 0.18 | 5.71 | (3.62) | 11.29 | |
| SXT | Sensient Technologies | 2.03 | 9 per month | 1.60 | 0.02 | 2.93 | (2.52) | 9.53 | |
| AXTA | Axalta Coating Systems | 0.35 | 10 per month | 1.18 | 0.12 | 3.27 | (2.53) | 8.87 | |
| KWR | Quaker Chemical | (1.79) | 8 per month | 1.91 | 0.16 | 4.98 | (3.24) | 15.37 | |
| RPM | RPM International | 0.83 | 8 per month | 1.13 | 0.03 | 3.25 | (2.22) | 6.87 | |
| ASH | Ashland Global Holdings | (0.22) | 10 per month | 1.20 | 0.17 | 5.71 | (2.64) | 13.67 | |
| MTX | Minerals Technologies | (1.16) | 7 per month | 0.77 | 0.23 | 3.34 | (1.63) | 5.23 | |
| DD | Dupont De Nemours | (0.58) | 13 per month | 0.74 | 0.25 | 3.82 | (2.06) | 11.55 | |
| EMN | Eastman Chemical | (0.73) | 7 per month | 1.49 | 0.17 | 5.51 | (3.03) | 9.74 |
Other Forecasting Options for Gulf Resources
For every potential investor in Gulf, whether a beginner or expert, Gulf Resources' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Gulf Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Gulf. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Gulf Resources' price trends.Gulf Resources Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gulf Resources stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gulf Resources could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gulf Resources by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Gulf Resources Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gulf Resources stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gulf Resources shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gulf Resources stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Gulf Resources Common entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.93 | |||
| Day Median Price | 4.43 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 4.43 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.16) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.32) |
Gulf Resources Risk Indicators
The analysis of Gulf Resources' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gulf Resources' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gulf stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 8.93 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 9.22 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 15.66 | |||
| Variance | 245.15 | |||
| Downside Variance | 103.13 | |||
| Semi Variance | 85.06 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (12.14) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Gulf Resources
The number of cover stories for Gulf Resources depends on current market conditions and Gulf Resources' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gulf Resources is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gulf Resources' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Gulf Resources Short Properties
Gulf Resources' future price predictability will typically decrease when Gulf Resources' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gulf Resources Common often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gulf Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gulf Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 10.1 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gulf Resources to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Will Commodity Chemicals sector continue expanding? Could Gulf diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gulf Resources. Market participants price Gulf higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Gulf Resources data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.662 | Earnings Share (24.60) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 2.501 | Return On Assets |
Understanding Gulf Resources Common requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Gulf's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Gulf Resources' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Gulf Resources' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gulf Resources' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gulf Resources is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Gulf Resources' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.