Golden Valley Pink Sheet Forecast - Polynomial Regression

GVYB Stock  USD 21.10  0.00  0.00%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Golden Valley Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 20.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.59. Golden Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Golden Valley stock prices and determine the direction of Golden Valley Bancshares's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Golden Valley's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time The relative strength index (RSI) of Golden Valley's share price is above 80 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 97

 Buy Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Golden Valley's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Golden Valley Bancshares, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Golden Valley hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Golden Valley Bancshares from the perspective of Golden Valley response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Golden Valley Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 20.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.59.

Golden Valley after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 21.1  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Golden Valley to cross-verify your projections.

Golden Valley Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Golden price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Golden using various technical indicators. When you analyze Golden charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Golden Valley polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Golden Valley Bancshares as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Golden Valley Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 7th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Golden Valley Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 20.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.59.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Golden Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Golden Valley's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Golden Valley Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Golden ValleyGolden Valley Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Golden Valley Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Golden Valley's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Golden Valley's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 19.60 and 21.82, respectively. We have considered Golden Valley's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
21.10
20.71
Expected Value
21.82
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Golden Valley pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Golden Valley pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.3325
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2192
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0105
SAESum of the absolute errors13.5909
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Golden Valley historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Golden Valley

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Golden Valley Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Golden Valley's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.9921.1022.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.9720.0821.19
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
21.1021.1021.10
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Golden Valley

For every potential investor in Golden, whether a beginner or expert, Golden Valley's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Golden Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Golden. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Golden Valley's price trends.

Golden Valley Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Golden Valley pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Golden Valley could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Golden Valley by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Golden Valley Bancshares Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Golden Valley's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Golden Valley's current price.

Golden Valley Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Golden Valley pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Golden Valley shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Golden Valley pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Golden Valley Bancshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Golden Valley Risk Indicators

The analysis of Golden Valley's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Golden Valley's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting golden pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Golden Pink Sheet

Golden Valley financial ratios help investors to determine whether Golden Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Golden with respect to the benefits of owning Golden Valley security.