Goodheart Willcox Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| GWOX Stock | USD 415.00 0.00 0.00% |
Goodheart Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Goodheart Willcox's share price is at 51. This usually indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Goodheart Willcox, making its price go up or down. Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Goodheart Willcox hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of The Goodheart Willcox from the perspective of Goodheart Willcox response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of The Goodheart Willcox on the next trading day is expected to be 411.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.53 and the sum of the absolute errors of 154.21. Goodheart Willcox after-hype prediction price | USD 415.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Goodheart |
Goodheart Willcox Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Goodheart price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Goodheart using various technical indicators. When you analyze Goodheart charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Goodheart Willcox Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of The Goodheart Willcox on the next trading day is expected to be 411.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.53, mean absolute percentage error of 10.48, and the sum of the absolute errors of 154.21.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Goodheart Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Goodheart Willcox's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Goodheart Willcox Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Goodheart Willcox | Goodheart Willcox Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Goodheart Willcox Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Goodheart Willcox's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Goodheart Willcox's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 410.75 and 412.79, respectively. We have considered Goodheart Willcox's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Goodheart Willcox pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Goodheart Willcox pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.4603 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.528 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0061 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 154.21 |
Predictive Modules for Goodheart Willcox
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Goodheart Willcox. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Goodheart Willcox After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Goodheart Willcox at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Goodheart Willcox or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Goodheart Willcox, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Goodheart Willcox Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Goodheart Willcox's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Goodheart Willcox's historical news coverage. Goodheart Willcox's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 413.96 and 416.04, respectively. We have considered Goodheart Willcox's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Goodheart Willcox is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Goodheart Willcox is based on 3 months time horizon.
Goodheart Willcox Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Goodheart Willcox is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Goodheart Willcox backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Goodheart Willcox, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 1.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
415.00 | 415.00 | 0.00 |
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Goodheart Willcox Hype Timeline
Goodheart Willcox is currently traded for 415.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Goodheart is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Goodheart Willcox is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 415.00. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.13. Goodheart Willcox last dividend was issued on the 28th of April 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Goodheart Willcox to cross-verify your projections.Goodheart Willcox Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Goodheart Willcox's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Goodheart Willcox's future price movements. Getting to know how Goodheart Willcox's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Goodheart Willcox may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TVBCF | Television Broadcasts Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NENTY | Nordic Entertainment Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SCPPF | S4 Capital plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.29 | 0.06 | 8.70 | (8.70) | 25.16 | |
| CLTFF | Celtic plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.47 | 0.05 | 4.17 | (3.60) | 13.07 | |
| AFCJF | AFC Ajax NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| YLWDF | Yellow Pages Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 0.50 | 0.00 | 5.89 | |
| LICT | Lict Corporation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.01 | (0.0003) | 2.79 | (2.48) | 9.85 | |
| PTMEY | Media Nusantara Citra | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.85 | 0.00 | 42.73 | |
| PCDAF | Postmedia Network Canada | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NENTF | Nordic Entertainment Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 145.22 |
Other Forecasting Options for Goodheart Willcox
For every potential investor in Goodheart, whether a beginner or expert, Goodheart Willcox's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Goodheart Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Goodheart. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Goodheart Willcox's price trends.Goodheart Willcox Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Goodheart Willcox pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Goodheart Willcox could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Goodheart Willcox by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Goodheart Willcox Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Goodheart Willcox pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Goodheart Willcox shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Goodheart Willcox pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify The Goodheart Willcox entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Goodheart Willcox Risk Indicators
The analysis of Goodheart Willcox's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Goodheart Willcox's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting goodheart pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.5238 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7837 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9943 | |||
| Variance | 0.9886 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.68 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.6142 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.24) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Goodheart Willcox
The number of cover stories for Goodheart Willcox depends on current market conditions and Goodheart Willcox's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Goodheart Willcox is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Goodheart Willcox's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Goodheart Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Goodheart Willcox's price analysis, check to measure Goodheart Willcox's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Goodheart Willcox is operating at the current time. Most of Goodheart Willcox's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Goodheart Willcox's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Goodheart Willcox's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Goodheart Willcox to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.