Yuexiu Transport Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

GZ3 Stock  EUR 0.43  0.01  2.27%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure on the next trading day is expected to be 0.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.39. Yuexiu Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Yuexiu Transport's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure is based on a synthetically constructed Yuexiu Transportdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Yuexiu Transport 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure on the next trading day is expected to be 0.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.39.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Yuexiu Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Yuexiu Transport's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Yuexiu Transport Stock Forecast Pattern

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Yuexiu Transport Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Yuexiu Transport's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Yuexiu Transport's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 5.60, respectively. We have considered Yuexiu Transport's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.43
0.43
Expected Value
5.60
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Yuexiu Transport stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Yuexiu Transport stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria75.198
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0332
MADMean absolute deviation0.0339
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0836
SAESum of the absolute errors1.388
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Yuexiu Transport Inf 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Yuexiu Transport

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yuexiu Transport Inf. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.435.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.345.50
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Yuexiu Transport

For every potential investor in Yuexiu, whether a beginner or expert, Yuexiu Transport's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Yuexiu Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Yuexiu. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Yuexiu Transport's price trends.

Yuexiu Transport Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Yuexiu Transport stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Yuexiu Transport could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Yuexiu Transport by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Yuexiu Transport Inf Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Yuexiu Transport's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Yuexiu Transport's current price.

Yuexiu Transport Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Yuexiu Transport stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Yuexiu Transport shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Yuexiu Transport stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Yuexiu Transport Risk Indicators

The analysis of Yuexiu Transport's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Yuexiu Transport's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting yuexiu stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Yuexiu Stock

Yuexiu Transport financial ratios help investors to determine whether Yuexiu Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Yuexiu with respect to the benefits of owning Yuexiu Transport security.