Guangzhou Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

GZUHY Stock  USD 2.28  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Guangzhou RF Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 2.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Guangzhou Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Guangzhou is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Guangzhou RF Properties value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Guangzhou Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Guangzhou RF Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 2.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Guangzhou Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Guangzhou's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Guangzhou Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Guangzhou Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Guangzhou's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Guangzhou's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.28 and 2.28, respectively. We have considered Guangzhou's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.28
2.28
Expected Value
2.28
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Guangzhou pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Guangzhou pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria50.2398
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Guangzhou RF Properties. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Guangzhou. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Guangzhou

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guangzhou RF Properties. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.282.282.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.282.282.28
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Guangzhou. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Guangzhou's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Guangzhou's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Guangzhou RF Properties.

Other Forecasting Options for Guangzhou

For every potential investor in Guangzhou, whether a beginner or expert, Guangzhou's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Guangzhou Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Guangzhou. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Guangzhou's price trends.

Guangzhou Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Guangzhou pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Guangzhou could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Guangzhou by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Guangzhou RF Properties Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Guangzhou's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Guangzhou's current price.

Guangzhou Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Guangzhou pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Guangzhou shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Guangzhou pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Guangzhou RF Properties entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Guangzhou Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Guangzhou's price analysis, check to measure Guangzhou's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guangzhou is operating at the current time. Most of Guangzhou's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guangzhou's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guangzhou's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guangzhou to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.