Amplify Cybersecurity Etf Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| HACK Etf | USD 78.51 0.02 0.03% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Amplify Cybersecurity ETF on the next trading day is expected to be 78.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.74 and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.48. Amplify Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the relative strength momentum indicator of Amplify Cybersecurity's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Amplify Cybersecurity hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Amplify Cybersecurity ETF from the perspective of Amplify Cybersecurity response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Amplify Cybersecurity using Amplify Cybersecurity's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Amplify using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Amplify Cybersecurity's stock price.
Amplify Cybersecurity Implied Volatility | 0.25 |
Amplify Cybersecurity's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Amplify Cybersecurity ETF stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Amplify Cybersecurity's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Amplify Cybersecurity stock will not fluctuate a lot when Amplify Cybersecurity's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Amplify Cybersecurity ETF on the next trading day is expected to be 78.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.74 and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.48. Amplify Cybersecurity after-hype prediction price | USD 78.54 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amplify Cybersecurity to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Amplify contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Amplify Cybersecurity ETF will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0156% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Amplify Cybersecurity trading at USD 78.51, that is roughly USD 0.0123 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Amplify Cybersecurity's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Amplify Cybersecurity ETF options at the current volatility level of 0.25%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Amplify Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Amplify Cybersecurity's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Amplify Cybersecurity's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Amplify Cybersecurity stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Amplify Cybersecurity's open interest, investors have to compare it to Amplify Cybersecurity's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Amplify Cybersecurity is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Amplify. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Amplify Cybersecurity Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Amplify price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Amplify using various technical indicators. When you analyze Amplify charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Amplify Cybersecurity Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Amplify Cybersecurity ETF on the next trading day is expected to be 78.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.74, mean absolute percentage error of 0.98, and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.48.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Amplify Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Amplify Cybersecurity's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Amplify Cybersecurity Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Amplify Cybersecurity | Amplify Cybersecurity Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Amplify Cybersecurity Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Amplify Cybersecurity's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Amplify Cybersecurity's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 77.35 and 79.67, respectively. We have considered Amplify Cybersecurity's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Amplify Cybersecurity etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Amplify Cybersecurity etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.2511 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1747 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7413 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.009 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 44.48 |
Predictive Modules for Amplify Cybersecurity
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amplify Cybersecurity ETF. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Amplify Cybersecurity's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Amplify Cybersecurity After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Amplify Cybersecurity at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Amplify Cybersecurity or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Amplify Cybersecurity, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Amplify Cybersecurity Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Amplify Cybersecurity's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Amplify Cybersecurity's historical news coverage. Amplify Cybersecurity's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 77.38 and 79.70, respectively. We have considered Amplify Cybersecurity's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Amplify Cybersecurity is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Amplify Cybersecurity ETF is based on 3 months time horizon.
Amplify Cybersecurity Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Amplify Cybersecurity is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Amplify Cybersecurity backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Amplify Cybersecurity, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 1.16 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 7 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
78.51 | 78.54 | 0.04 |
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Amplify Cybersecurity Hype Timeline
Amplify Cybersecurity ETF is currently traded for 78.51. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Amplify is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 78.54 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Amplify Cybersecurity is about 613.76%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 78.55. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amplify Cybersecurity to cross-verify your projections.Amplify Cybersecurity Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Amplify Cybersecurity's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Amplify Cybersecurity's future price movements. Getting to know how Amplify Cybersecurity's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Amplify Cybersecurity may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PABU | iShares Paris Aligned Climate | (0.83) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.04 | (1.37) | 4.45 | |
| SILJ | Amplify Junior Silver | 0.87 | 7 per month | 2.64 | 0.19 | 5.93 | (5.37) | 11.63 | |
| SECT | Main Sector Rotation | 0.26 | 4 per month | 0.83 | (0.04) | 1.28 | (1.57) | 3.61 | |
| SPYX | SPDR SP 500 | 0.18 | 4 per month | 0.82 | (0.05) | 1.10 | (1.24) | 3.65 | |
| IHDG | WisdomTree International Hedged | 0.31 | 2 per month | 0.62 | 0.04 | 1.21 | (1.16) | 4.21 | |
| FLIN | Franklin FTSE India | 0.16 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 1.06 | (1.16) | 3.99 | |
| FNCL | Fidelity MSCI Financials | 0.09 | 5 per month | 0.87 | (0.05) | 1.36 | (1.70) | 4.36 | |
| SMLF | iShares MSCI USA | (0.23) | 5 per month | 1.00 | 0.02 | 1.85 | (1.86) | 4.02 | |
| MDYG | SPDR SP 400 | 0.61 | 5 per month | 0.88 | 0.04 | 1.77 | (1.60) | 4.11 | |
| SNPE | Xtrackers SP 500 | 0.47 | 3 per month | 0.63 | (0.02) | 1.21 | (1.02) | 3.72 |
Other Forecasting Options for Amplify Cybersecurity
For every potential investor in Amplify, whether a beginner or expert, Amplify Cybersecurity's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Amplify Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Amplify. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Amplify Cybersecurity's price trends.Amplify Cybersecurity Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Amplify Cybersecurity etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Amplify Cybersecurity could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Amplify Cybersecurity by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Amplify Cybersecurity Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Amplify Cybersecurity etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Amplify Cybersecurity shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Amplify Cybersecurity etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Amplify Cybersecurity ETF entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Amplify Cybersecurity Risk Indicators
The analysis of Amplify Cybersecurity's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Amplify Cybersecurity's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting amplify etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9005 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.15 | |||
| Variance | 1.33 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Amplify Cybersecurity
The number of cover stories for Amplify Cybersecurity depends on current market conditions and Amplify Cybersecurity's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Amplify Cybersecurity is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Amplify Cybersecurity's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amplify Cybersecurity to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the AI Portfolio Prophet module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
The market value of Amplify Cybersecurity ETF is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Amplify that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Amplify Cybersecurity's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Amplify Cybersecurity's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Amplify Cybersecurity's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Amplify Cybersecurity's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Amplify Cybersecurity's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Amplify Cybersecurity is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Amplify Cybersecurity's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.