Hallmark Financial Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression
| HALL Stock | USD 0.08 0.00 0.00% |
Hallmark Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now The relative strength index (RSI) of Hallmark Financial's share price is above 80 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 92
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Hallmark Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hallmark Financial Services from the perspective of Hallmark Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Hallmark Financial Services on the next trading day is expected to be 0.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.28. Hallmark Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 0.08 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Hallmark |
Hallmark Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hallmark price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hallmark using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hallmark charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Hallmark Financial Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Hallmark Financial Services on the next trading day is expected to be 0.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000028, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.28.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hallmark Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hallmark Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Hallmark Financial Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Hallmark Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Hallmark Financial's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hallmark Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0008 and 3.21, respectively. We have considered Hallmark Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hallmark Financial pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hallmark Financial pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 107.644 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0046 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0778 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.2817 |
Predictive Modules for Hallmark Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hallmark Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hallmark Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Hallmark Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hallmark Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Hallmark Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Hallmark Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Hallmark Financial's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hallmark Financial's historical news coverage. Hallmark Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 3.21, respectively. We have considered Hallmark Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Hallmark Financial is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hallmark Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Hallmark Financial Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hallmark Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hallmark Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hallmark Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.76 | 3.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.08 | 0.08 | 0.00 |
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Hallmark Financial Hype Timeline
Hallmark Financial is currently traded for 0.08. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Hallmark is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.76%. %. The volatility of related hype on Hallmark Financial is about 823684.21%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.08. About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.3. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Hallmark Financial recorded a loss per share of 49.31. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of October 2010. The firm had 1:10 split on the 3rd of January 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hallmark Financial to cross-verify your projections.Hallmark Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Hallmark Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hallmark Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Hallmark Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hallmark Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BCAP | Baron Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | (33.33) | 375.00 | |
| VNTN | VentureNet Capital Group | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 | |
| KCMH | KCM Holdings | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| OHCS | Optimus Healthcare Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 | |
| NOUV | Nouveau Life Pharmaceuticals | 0.0001 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ACFL | AMC Financial Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| HMNU | Human Unitec International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AMLH | American Leisure Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MTEI | Mountain Energy | (0) | 1 per month | 9.13 | 0.11 | 41.67 | (27.66) | 144.77 | |
| AWWI | Alpha Wastewater | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Hallmark Financial
For every potential investor in Hallmark, whether a beginner or expert, Hallmark Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hallmark Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hallmark. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hallmark Financial's price trends.Hallmark Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hallmark Financial pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hallmark Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hallmark Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Hallmark Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hallmark Financial pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hallmark Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hallmark Financial pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Hallmark Financial Services entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Hallmark Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of Hallmark Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hallmark Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hallmark pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.58 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.06 | |||
| Variance | 9.39 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Hallmark Financial
The number of cover stories for Hallmark Financial depends on current market conditions and Hallmark Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hallmark Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hallmark Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Hallmark Financial Short Properties
Hallmark Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hallmark Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hallmark Financial Services often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hallmark Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hallmark Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 181.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 485.7 M |
Other Information on Investing in Hallmark Pink Sheet
Hallmark Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hallmark Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hallmark with respect to the benefits of owning Hallmark Financial security.