Hannan Metals Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

HANNF Stock  USD 0.62  0.05  8.77%   
Hannan Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Hannan Metals' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 4th of February 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Hannan Metals' share price is at 51. This usually indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Hannan Metals, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 51

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Hannan Metals' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Hannan Metals and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Hannan Metals' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Hannan Metals, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Hannan Metals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hannan Metals from the perspective of Hannan Metals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Hannan Metals on the next trading day is expected to be 0.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.17.

Hannan Metals after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.62  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hannan Metals to cross-verify your projections.

Hannan Metals Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Hannan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hannan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hannan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Hannan Metals simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Hannan Metals are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Hannan Metals prices get older.

Hannan Metals Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Hannan Metals on the next trading day is expected to be 0.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0006, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.17.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hannan Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hannan Metals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Hannan Metals Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Hannan Metals  Hannan Metals Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Hannan Metals Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Hannan Metals' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hannan Metals' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 4.95, respectively. We have considered Hannan Metals' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.62
0.62
Expected Value
4.95
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hannan Metals pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hannan Metals pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.9129
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0013
MADMean absolute deviation0.0196
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0321
SAESum of the absolute errors1.1732
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Hannan Metals forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Hannan Metals observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Hannan Metals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hannan Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.624.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.524.86
Details

Hannan Metals After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Hannan Metals at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hannan Metals or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Hannan Metals, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Hannan Metals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Hannan Metals' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hannan Metals' historical news coverage. Hannan Metals' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 4.96, respectively. We have considered Hannan Metals' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.62
0.62
After-hype Price
4.96
Upside
Hannan Metals is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hannan Metals is based on 3 months time horizon.

Hannan Metals Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hannan Metals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hannan Metals backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hannan Metals, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.15 
4.34
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.62
0.62
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Hannan Metals Hype Timeline

Hannan Metals is currently traded for 0.62. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Hannan is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on Hannan Metals is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.62. The book value of the company was currently reported as 0.1. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.01. Hannan Metals last dividend was issued on the 6th of July 2016. The entity had 1:2 split on the 6th of July 2016. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hannan Metals to cross-verify your projections.

Hannan Metals Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Hannan Metals' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hannan Metals' future price movements. Getting to know how Hannan Metals' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hannan Metals may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AGXPFSilver X Mining 0.00 0 per month 4.58  0.23  13.33 (7.50) 27.14 
TMRCTexas Rare Earth 0.00 0 per month 6.54  0.06  10.29 (10.00) 84.83 
POROFPanoro Minerals 0.00 0 per month 4.93  0.1  13.64 (12.50) 47.44 
MDSQFMinsud Resources Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.05  0.00  0.00  41.97 
LTHCFLithium Ionic Corp 0.00 0 per month 3.64  0.14  10.77 (7.58) 32.40 
NCFFFNorthcliff Resources 0.00 0 per month 6.52  0.10  12.50 (13.04) 238.46 
FPRGFFalco Resources 0.00 0 per month 6.04  0.10  12.90 (11.54) 46.88 
FRHYFFrontier Energy Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.19) 0.00  0.00  13.33 
CUAUFC3 Metals 0.00 0 per month 4.99  0.1  7.69 (5.00) 35.05 
VTMLFVenture Minerals Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.11  0.00  0.00  1,866 

Other Forecasting Options for Hannan Metals

For every potential investor in Hannan, whether a beginner or expert, Hannan Metals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hannan Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hannan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hannan Metals' price trends.

Hannan Metals Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hannan Metals pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hannan Metals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hannan Metals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hannan Metals Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hannan Metals pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hannan Metals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hannan Metals pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Hannan Metals entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Hannan Metals Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hannan Metals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hannan Metals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hannan pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Hannan Metals

The number of cover stories for Hannan Metals depends on current market conditions and Hannan Metals' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hannan Metals is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hannan Metals' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Hannan Pink Sheet

Hannan Metals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hannan Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hannan with respect to the benefits of owning Hannan Metals security.