Hapvida Participaes Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| HAPV3 Stock | BRL 12.99 0.26 1.96% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Hapvida Participaes e on the next trading day is expected to be 12.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.66 and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.35. Hapvida Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the value of RSI of Hapvida Participaes' share price is approaching 32. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Hapvida Participaes, making its price go up or down. Momentum 32
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Hapvida Participaes hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hapvida Participaes e from the perspective of Hapvida Participaes response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Hapvida Participaes e on the next trading day is expected to be 12.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.66 and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.35. Hapvida Participaes after-hype prediction price | BRL 12.99 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Hapvida |
Hapvida Participaes Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hapvida price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hapvida using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hapvida charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Hapvida Participaes Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 19th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Hapvida Participaes e on the next trading day is expected to be 12.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.66, mean absolute percentage error of 3.50, and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.35.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hapvida Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hapvida Participaes' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Hapvida Participaes Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Hapvida Participaes | Hapvida Participaes Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Hapvida Participaes Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Hapvida Participaes' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hapvida Participaes' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.70 and 19.28, respectively. We have considered Hapvida Participaes' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hapvida Participaes stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hapvida Participaes stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.5265 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.3342 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6558 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0367 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 39.35 |
Predictive Modules for Hapvida Participaes
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hapvida Participaes. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Hapvida Participaes
For every potential investor in Hapvida, whether a beginner or expert, Hapvida Participaes' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hapvida Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hapvida. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hapvida Participaes' price trends.Hapvida Participaes Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hapvida Participaes stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hapvida Participaes could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hapvida Participaes by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Hapvida Participaes Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hapvida Participaes' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hapvida Participaes' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Hapvida Participaes Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hapvida Participaes stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hapvida Participaes shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hapvida Participaes stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hapvida Participaes e entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Hapvida Participaes Risk Indicators
The analysis of Hapvida Participaes' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hapvida Participaes' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hapvida stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.07 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.06 | |||
| Variance | 36.78 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Hapvida Stock Analysis
When running Hapvida Participaes' price analysis, check to measure Hapvida Participaes' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hapvida Participaes is operating at the current time. Most of Hapvida Participaes' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hapvida Participaes' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hapvida Participaes' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hapvida Participaes to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.