Hasbro Stock Forward View - 20 Period Moving Average
| HAS Stock | USD 94.69 -0.39 -0.41% |
20 Period Moving Average is applied to Hasbro Inc's daily closing prices, and the resulting forecast is presented with accuracy metrics. Wide deviation between fitted and observed values suggests the model's assumptions may not match current market conditions. The 20 Period Moving Average model projects Hasbro at 92.70 for the next trading day, below the most recent closing price. This 20 Period Moving Average output is provided as analytical reference and does not constitute a trading recommendation.
20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of April
Over a 90-day horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average model forecasts Hasbro at 92.70 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 3.09 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.03 , and sum of absolute errors of 126.74 .This represents a tight forecast with good short-term tracking of Hasbro's price movement. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Hasbro | Hasbro Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
Hasbro's next-session forecast estimates practical downside and upside boundaries based on the model's historical fit. The projected band runs from roughly 90.39 on the downside to about 95.01 on the upside. The moderate spread reflects defined uncertainty around the forecast.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the 20 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for Hasbro stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 83.8543 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 1.6036 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.0912 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0332 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 126.739 |
Other Forecasting Options for Hasbro
Hasbro's daily price returns decompose into trend, seasonal, and residual components. Divergence between short-term and long-term averages in Hasbro often signals an upcoming reversal or acceleration.Hasbro Related Equities
These stocks are related to Hasbro within the Consumer Discretionary space and can be used for peer review, pricing, or spreading risk. Revenue and margin checks across this group help investors set expectations for Hasbro's results.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Hasbro Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Hasbro stock provide a framework for assessing security responsiveness. A rising Accumulation/Distribution line alongside rising price confirms institutional buying interest in Hasbro.
Hasbro Risk Indicators
Assessing Hasbro's risk indicators is a structured way to evaluate the risk-return trade-off for hasbro stock. The level of risk embedded in Hasbro's feeds directly into exposure calibration.
| Mean Deviation | 1.58 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.69 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.26 | |||
| Variance | 5.1 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.12 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.87 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.95 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Hasbro Short Properties
Short-interest signals around Hasbro reveal whether skeptical positioning is starting to pressure price predictability and market tone. The practical goal is to identify when the balance between long and short participation may be changing the quality of the setup.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 140.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 882 M |