HAVAS SA Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

HAVAS Stock   17.13  0.13  0.76%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of HAVAS SA on the next trading day is expected to be 17.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.41. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast HAVAS SA's stock prices and determine the direction of HAVAS SA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of HAVAS SA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real. At this time the value of rsi of HAVAS SA's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of HAVAS SA's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with HAVAS SA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using HAVAS SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of HAVAS SA from the perspective of HAVAS SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of HAVAS SA on the next trading day is expected to be 17.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.41.

HAVAS SA after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 17.13  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.

HAVAS SA Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine HAVAS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for HAVAS using various technical indicators. When you analyze HAVAS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
HAVAS SA simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for HAVAS SA are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as HAVAS SA prices get older.

HAVAS SA Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of HAVAS SA on the next trading day is expected to be 17.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.41.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict HAVAS Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that HAVAS SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

HAVAS SA Stock Forecast Pattern

HAVAS SA Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting HAVAS SA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. HAVAS SA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.58 and 18.68, respectively. We have considered HAVAS SA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
17.13
17.13
Expected Value
18.68
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of HAVAS SA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent HAVAS SA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.374
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0422
MADMean absolute deviation0.1735
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0115
SAESum of the absolute errors10.41
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting HAVAS SA forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent HAVAS SA observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for HAVAS SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HAVAS SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of HAVAS SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.

Other Forecasting Options for HAVAS SA

For every potential investor in HAVAS, whether a beginner or expert, HAVAS SA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. HAVAS Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in HAVAS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying HAVAS SA's price trends.

HAVAS SA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with HAVAS SA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of HAVAS SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing HAVAS SA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

HAVAS SA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of HAVAS SA's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of HAVAS SA's current price.

HAVAS SA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how HAVAS SA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading HAVAS SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying HAVAS SA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify HAVAS SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

HAVAS SA Risk Indicators

The analysis of HAVAS SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in HAVAS SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting havas stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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