Hayward Holdings Stock Forward View
| HAYW Stock | USD 16.30 0.10 0.61% |
Hayward Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Hayward Holdings' share price is approaching 49. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Hayward Holdings, making its price go up or down. Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Hayward Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hayward Holdings from the perspective of Hayward Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hayward Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 15.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.30. Hayward Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 16.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hayward Holdings to cross-verify your projections. Hayward Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hayward price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hayward using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hayward charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Hayward Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hayward Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 15.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.30.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hayward Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hayward Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Hayward Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Hayward Holdings | Hayward Holdings Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Hayward Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Hayward Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hayward Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.43 and 17.06, respectively. We have considered Hayward Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hayward Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hayward Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.4547 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2016 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0126 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.2987 |
Predictive Modules for Hayward Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hayward Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hayward Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hayward Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Hayward Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hayward Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hayward Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Hayward Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Hayward Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hayward Holdings' historical news coverage. Hayward Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.82 and 17.46, respectively. We have considered Hayward Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Hayward Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hayward Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Hayward Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hayward Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hayward Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hayward Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 1.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
16.30 | 16.14 | 0.00 |
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Hayward Holdings Hype Timeline
Hayward Holdings is currently traded for 16.30. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Hayward is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Hayward Holdings is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.30. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Hayward Holdings was currently reported as 7.02. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.36. Hayward Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hayward Holdings to cross-verify your projections.Hayward Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Hayward Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hayward Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Hayward Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hayward Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EAF | GrafTech International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.61 | 0.06 | 7.10 | (7.33) | 21.19 | |
| CAAP | Corporacion America Airports | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.92 | 0.24 | 4.22 | (2.24) | 7.74 | |
| BRC | Brady | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.95 | 0.15 | 2.35 | (1.68) | 5.12 | |
| PLUG | Plug Power | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 7.91 | (8.79) | 24.67 | |
| CXT | Crane NXT Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 2.60 | (4.02) | 8.12 | |
| MYRG | MYR Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.36 | 0.06 | 4.12 | (4.02) | 10.70 | |
| EOSE | Eos Energy Enterprises | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.14 | 0.01 | 11.16 | (9.57) | 31.35 | |
| ATMU | Atmus Filtration Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.25 | 0.20 | 3.33 | (2.26) | 8.91 | |
| EXPO | Exponent | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.25 | (0.02) | 2.89 | (1.73) | 7.84 | |
| POWL | Powell Industries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.97 | 0.06 | 4.45 | (5.25) | 15.35 |
Other Forecasting Options for Hayward Holdings
For every potential investor in Hayward, whether a beginner or expert, Hayward Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hayward Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hayward. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hayward Holdings' price trends.Hayward Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hayward Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hayward Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hayward Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Hayward Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hayward Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hayward Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hayward Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hayward Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Hayward Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of Hayward Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hayward Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hayward stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9336 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.32 | |||
| Variance | 1.74 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Hayward Holdings
The number of cover stories for Hayward Holdings depends on current market conditions and Hayward Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hayward Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hayward Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Hayward Holdings Short Properties
Hayward Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Hayward Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hayward Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hayward Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hayward Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 221.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 196.6 M |
Additional Tools for Hayward Stock Analysis
When running Hayward Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Hayward Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hayward Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Hayward Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hayward Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hayward Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hayward Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.