HSBC Holdings Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| HBC1 Stock | 8.89 0.04 0.45% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of HSBC Holdings plc on the next trading day is expected to be 8.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.56. HSBC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast HSBC Holdings stock prices and determine the direction of HSBC Holdings plc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of HSBC Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
HSBC |
HSBC Holdings Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of HSBC Holdings plc on the next trading day is expected to be 8.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.56.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict HSBC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that HSBC Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
HSBC Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
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HSBC Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting HSBC Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. HSBC Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.62 and 10.15, respectively. We have considered HSBC Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of HSBC Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent HSBC Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.7017 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0238 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0759 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0092 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.5565 |
Predictive Modules for HSBC Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HSBC Holdings plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for HSBC Holdings
For every potential investor in HSBC, whether a beginner or expert, HSBC Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. HSBC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in HSBC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying HSBC Holdings' price trends.HSBC Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with HSBC Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of HSBC Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing HSBC Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
HSBC Holdings plc Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of HSBC Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of HSBC Holdings' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
HSBC Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how HSBC Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading HSBC Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying HSBC Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify HSBC Holdings plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
HSBC Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of HSBC Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in HSBC Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hsbc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9242 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.27 | |||
| Variance | 1.6 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.36 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.51 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.99) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Information and Resources on Investing in HSBC Stock
When determining whether HSBC Holdings plc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of HSBC Holdings' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Hsbc Holdings Plc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Hsbc Holdings Plc Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of HSBC Holdings to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.