Hbt Financial Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| HBT Stock | USD 26.76 0.81 2.94% |
Hbt Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Hbt Financial's share price is at 53. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Hbt Financial, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.101 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.626 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.51 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.8125 | Wall Street Target Price 30 |
Using Hbt Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hbt Financial from the perspective of Hbt Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Hbt Financial using Hbt Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Hbt using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Hbt Financial's stock price.
Hbt Financial Implied Volatility | 0.79 |
Hbt Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Hbt Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Hbt Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Hbt Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Hbt Financial's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Hbt Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 27.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.84. Hbt Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 26.76 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hbt Financial to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Hbt contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Hbt Financial will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0494% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Hbt Financial trading at USD 26.76, that is roughly USD 0.0132 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Hbt Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Hbt Financial options at the current volatility level of 0.79%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Hbt Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Hbt Financial's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Hbt Financial's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Hbt Financial stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Hbt Financial's open interest, investors have to compare it to Hbt Financial's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Hbt Financial is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Hbt. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Hbt Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hbt price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hbt using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hbt charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Hbt Financial Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Hbt Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 27.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37, mean absolute percentage error of 0.25, and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.84.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hbt Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hbt Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Hbt Financial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Hbt Financial | Hbt Financial Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Hbt Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Hbt Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hbt Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.39 and 28.94, respectively. We have considered Hbt Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hbt Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hbt Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.0423 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0836 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3702 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0144 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 21.84 |
Predictive Modules for Hbt Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hbt Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hbt Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Hbt Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hbt Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hbt Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Hbt Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Hbt Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hbt Financial's historical news coverage. Hbt Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.98 and 28.54, respectively. We have considered Hbt Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Hbt Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hbt Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Hbt Financial Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hbt Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hbt Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hbt Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 1.78 | 0.06 | 0.10 | 2 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
26.76 | 26.76 | 0.00 |
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Hbt Financial Hype Timeline
On the 26th of January Hbt Financial is traded for 26.76. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. Hbt is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.18%. %. The volatility of related hype on Hbt Financial is about 333.75%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.86. About 64.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.45. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Hbt Financial last dividend was issued on the 3rd of November 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hbt Financial to cross-verify your projections.Hbt Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Hbt Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hbt Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Hbt Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hbt Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BFST | Business First Bancshares | 0.74 | 9 per month | 1.08 | 0.11 | 2.88 | (1.66) | 10.57 | |
| NBN | Northeast Bancorp | 6.18 | 10 per month | 2.18 | 0.1 | 4.10 | (4.25) | 13.72 | |
| CCNE | CNB Financial | (0.04) | 7 per month | 0.95 | 0.08 | 3.12 | (1.55) | 5.21 | |
| FSBC | Five Star Bancorp | 0.38 | 13 per month | 1.45 | 0.01 | 3.57 | (2.50) | 10.05 | |
| MBWM | Mercantile Bank | (0.42) | 8 per month | 1.20 | 0.08 | 3.78 | (2.55) | 9.88 | |
| AMTB | Amerant Bancorp | (0.44) | 8 per month | 1.90 | 0.06 | 3.95 | (3.75) | 10.32 | |
| EFSC | Enterprise Financial Services | (0.98) | 7 per month | 1.29 | (0.03) | 2.79 | (1.83) | 9.13 | |
| MOFG | MidWestOne Financial Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.39 | 0.12 | 3.03 | (2.70) | 13.04 | |
| TRST | TrustCo Bank Corp | (0.62) | 8 per month | 1.43 | 0.11 | 2.71 | (1.69) | 12.39 |
Other Forecasting Options for Hbt Financial
For every potential investor in Hbt, whether a beginner or expert, Hbt Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hbt Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hbt. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hbt Financial's price trends.Hbt Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hbt Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hbt Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hbt Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Hbt Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hbt Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hbt Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hbt Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hbt Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 3028.62 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.58) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 26.93 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 26.87 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.57) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.81) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 53.73 |
Hbt Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of Hbt Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hbt Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hbt stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.29 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.44 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.76 | |||
| Variance | 3.1 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.76 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.08 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.46) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Hbt Financial
The number of cover stories for Hbt Financial depends on current market conditions and Hbt Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hbt Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hbt Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Hbt Financial Short Properties
Hbt Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hbt Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hbt Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hbt Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hbt Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 190 M |
Additional Tools for Hbt Stock Analysis
When running Hbt Financial's price analysis, check to measure Hbt Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hbt Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Hbt Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hbt Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hbt Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hbt Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.