Healthpeak Properties Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

HC5 Stock  EUR 15.30  0.20  1.32%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Healthpeak Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 15.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.81. Healthpeak Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Healthpeak Properties' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 25th of January 2026 the value of rsi of Healthpeak Properties' share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Healthpeak Properties' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Healthpeak Properties and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Healthpeak Properties' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Healthpeak Properties, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Healthpeak Properties hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Healthpeak Properties from the perspective of Healthpeak Properties response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Healthpeak Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 15.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.81.

Healthpeak Properties after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 15.3  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Healthpeak Properties to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Healthpeak Stock please use our How to Invest in Healthpeak Properties guide.

Healthpeak Properties Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Healthpeak price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Healthpeak using various technical indicators. When you analyze Healthpeak charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Healthpeak Properties simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Healthpeak Properties are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Healthpeak Properties prices get older.

Healthpeak Properties Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Healthpeak Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 15.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.81.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Healthpeak Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Healthpeak Properties' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Healthpeak Properties Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Healthpeak PropertiesHealthpeak Properties Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Healthpeak Properties Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Healthpeak Properties' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Healthpeak Properties' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.68 and 16.92, respectively. We have considered Healthpeak Properties' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
15.30
15.30
Expected Value
16.92
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Healthpeak Properties stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Healthpeak Properties stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.436
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0118
MADMean absolute deviation0.1802
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0123
SAESum of the absolute errors10.81
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Healthpeak Properties forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Healthpeak Properties observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Healthpeak Properties

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Healthpeak Properties. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.6815.3016.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.7912.4116.83
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
13.0514.3415.63
Details

Healthpeak Properties After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Healthpeak Properties at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Healthpeak Properties or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Healthpeak Properties, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Healthpeak Properties Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Healthpeak Properties' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Healthpeak Properties' historical news coverage. Healthpeak Properties' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.68 and 16.92, respectively. We have considered Healthpeak Properties' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
15.30
15.30
After-hype Price
16.92
Upside
Healthpeak Properties is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Healthpeak Properties is based on 3 months time horizon.

Healthpeak Properties Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Healthpeak Properties is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Healthpeak Properties backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Healthpeak Properties, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.06 
1.62
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
15.30
15.30
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Healthpeak Properties Hype Timeline

Healthpeak Properties is currently traded for 15.30on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Healthpeak is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Healthpeak Properties is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.30. About 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Healthpeak Properties was currently reported as 12.17. The company last dividend was issued on the 8th of February 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Healthpeak Properties to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Healthpeak Stock please use our How to Invest in Healthpeak Properties guide.

Healthpeak Properties Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Healthpeak Properties' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Healthpeak Properties' future price movements. Getting to know how Healthpeak Properties' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Healthpeak Properties may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Healthpeak Properties

For every potential investor in Healthpeak, whether a beginner or expert, Healthpeak Properties' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Healthpeak Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Healthpeak. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Healthpeak Properties' price trends.

Healthpeak Properties Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Healthpeak Properties stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Healthpeak Properties could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Healthpeak Properties by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Healthpeak Properties Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Healthpeak Properties stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Healthpeak Properties shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Healthpeak Properties stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Healthpeak Properties entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Healthpeak Properties Risk Indicators

The analysis of Healthpeak Properties' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Healthpeak Properties' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting healthpeak stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Healthpeak Properties

The number of cover stories for Healthpeak Properties depends on current market conditions and Healthpeak Properties' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Healthpeak Properties is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Healthpeak Properties' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Healthpeak Stock

When determining whether Healthpeak Properties offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Healthpeak Properties' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Healthpeak Properties Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Healthpeak Properties Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Healthpeak Properties to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Healthpeak Stock please use our How to Invest in Healthpeak Properties guide.
You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Healthpeak Properties' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Healthpeak Properties is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Healthpeak Properties' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.