Hot Chili Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| HCH Stock | 1.54 0.08 4.94% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Hot Chili on the next trading day is expected to be 1.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.08. Hot Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength momentum indicator of Hot Chili's share price is above 70 at this time. This usually indicates that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Hot, making its price go up or down. Momentum 71
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Wall Street Target Price 2.8901 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.553 |
Using Hot Chili hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hot Chili from the perspective of Hot Chili response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Hot Chili on the next trading day is expected to be 1.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.08. Hot Chili after-hype prediction price | CAD 1.57 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Hot |
Hot Chili Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hot price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hot using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hot charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Hot Chili Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 21st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Hot Chili on the next trading day is expected to be 1.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.08.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hot Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hot Chili's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Hot Chili Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Hot Chili | Hot Chili Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Hot Chili Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Hot Chili's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hot Chili's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 7.53, respectively. We have considered Hot Chili's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hot Chili stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hot Chili stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0101 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0514 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0494 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.0812 |
Predictive Modules for Hot Chili
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hot Chili. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Hot Chili
For every potential investor in Hot, whether a beginner or expert, Hot Chili's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hot Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hot. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hot Chili's price trends.Hot Chili Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hot Chili stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hot Chili could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hot Chili by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Hot Chili Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hot Chili's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hot Chili's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Hot Chili Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hot Chili stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hot Chili shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hot Chili stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hot Chili entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Hot Chili Risk Indicators
The analysis of Hot Chili's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hot Chili's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hot stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.48 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.3 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.97 | |||
| Variance | 35.63 | |||
| Downside Variance | 27.48 | |||
| Semi Variance | 18.48 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.76) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Tools for Hot Stock Analysis
When running Hot Chili's price analysis, check to measure Hot Chili's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hot Chili is operating at the current time. Most of Hot Chili's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hot Chili's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hot Chili's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hot Chili to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.