E Fixed Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| HCIIX Fund | USD 43.40 0.02 0.05% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of The E Fixed on the next trading day is expected to be 43.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.85. HCIIX Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of E Fixed's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the mutual fund is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using E Fixed hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of The E Fixed from the perspective of E Fixed response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of The E Fixed on the next trading day is expected to be 43.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.85. E Fixed after-hype prediction price | USD 43.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
HCIIX |
E Fixed Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine HCIIX price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for HCIIX using various technical indicators. When you analyze HCIIX charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
E Fixed Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of The E Fixed on the next trading day is expected to be 43.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.85.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict HCIIX Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that E Fixed's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
E Fixed Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
E Fixed Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting E Fixed's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. E Fixed's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 43.19 and 43.61, respectively. We have considered E Fixed's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of E Fixed mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent E Fixed mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.6712 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0153 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0808 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0019 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.85 |
Predictive Modules for E Fixed
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as E Fixed. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.E Fixed Estimiated After-Hype Price Prediction Volatility
As far as predicting the price of E Fixed at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in E Fixed or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of E Fixed, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
E Fixed Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as E Fixed is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading E Fixed backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with E Fixed, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 0.21 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
43.40 | 43.40 | 0.00 |
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E Fixed Hype Timeline
E Fixed is currently traded for 43.40. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.04. HCIIX is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on E Fixed is about 10.48%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 43.36. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out fundamental analysis of E Fixed to check your projections.E Fixed Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to E Fixed's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict E Fixed's future price movements. Getting to know how E Fixed's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how E Fixed may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| XGGNX | Gamco Global Gold | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.72 | 0.08 | 1.93 | (1.44) | 3.42 | |
| OGMCX | Oppenheimer Gold Special | 85.25 | 9 per month | 1.99 | 0.15 | 4.29 | (3.95) | 9.92 | |
| GLDAX | Gabelli Gold Fund | 0.00 | 1 per month | 2.07 | 0.16 | 4.63 | (3.87) | 9.78 | |
| AGGWX | Global Gold Fund | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.10 | 0.15 | 4.54 | (4.28) | 10.36 | |
| SGDIX | Deutsche Gold Precious | (99.33) | 3 per month | 1.89 | 0.16 | 3.79 | (3.75) | 10.08 | |
| UNWPX | World Precious Minerals | 0.05 | 1 per month | 1.95 | 0.15 | 4.14 | (3.61) | 8.92 | |
| OCMAX | Ocm Mutual Fund | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.87 | 0.17 | 4.36 | (3.69) | 9.43 |
Other Forecasting Options for E Fixed
For every potential investor in HCIIX, whether a beginner or expert, E Fixed's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. HCIIX Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in HCIIX. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying E Fixed's price trends.E Fixed Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with E Fixed mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of E Fixed could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing E Fixed by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
E Fixed Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how E Fixed mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading E Fixed shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying E Fixed mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify The E Fixed entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 43.4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 43.4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.01 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.02 |
E Fixed Risk Indicators
The analysis of E Fixed's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in E Fixed's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hciix mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.1628 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.2006 | |||
| Variance | 0.0403 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for E Fixed
The number of cover stories for E Fixed depends on current market conditions and E Fixed's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that E Fixed is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about E Fixed's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in HCIIX Mutual Fund
E Fixed financial ratios help investors to determine whether HCIIX Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HCIIX with respect to the benefits of owning E Fixed security.
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