Hitachi Construction Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| HCM Stock | EUR 27.40 0.20 0.74% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Hitachi Construction Machinery on the next trading day is expected to be 26.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 75.58. Hitachi Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Hitachi Construction's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026, The value of RSI of Hitachi Construction's share price is at 54. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Hitachi Construction, making its price go up or down. Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Hitachi Construction hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hitachi Construction Machinery from the perspective of Hitachi Construction response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Hitachi Construction Machinery on the next trading day is expected to be 26.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 75.58. Hitachi Construction after-hype prediction price | EUR 27.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Hitachi |
Hitachi Construction Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hitachi price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hitachi using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hitachi charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Hitachi Construction Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Hitachi Construction Machinery on the next trading day is expected to be 26.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.24, mean absolute percentage error of 2.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 75.58.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hitachi Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hitachi Construction's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Hitachi Construction Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Hitachi Construction | Hitachi Construction Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Hitachi Construction Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Hitachi Construction's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hitachi Construction's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 23.45 and 28.58, respectively. We have considered Hitachi Construction's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hitachi Construction stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hitachi Construction stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.8087 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.239 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0472 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 75.5818 |
Predictive Modules for Hitachi Construction
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hitachi Construction. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hitachi Construction After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Hitachi Construction at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hitachi Construction or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hitachi Construction, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Hitachi Construction Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Hitachi Construction's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hitachi Construction's historical news coverage. Hitachi Construction's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.81 and 29.99, respectively. We have considered Hitachi Construction's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Hitachi Construction is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hitachi Construction is based on 3 months time horizon.
Hitachi Construction Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hitachi Construction is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hitachi Construction backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hitachi Construction, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 2.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
27.40 | 27.40 | 0.00 |
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Hitachi Construction Hype Timeline
Hitachi Construction is currently traded for 27.40on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Hitachi is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Hitachi Construction is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.40. About 51.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.99. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Hitachi Construction last dividend was issued on the 29th of September 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hitachi Construction to cross-verify your projections.Hitachi Construction Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Hitachi Construction's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hitachi Construction's future price movements. Getting to know how Hitachi Construction's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hitachi Construction may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ZZG | INFORMATION SVC GRP | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.85 | (0.01) | 4.07 | (4.31) | 23.44 | |
| 2T8 | Townsquare Media | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.88 | (0.03) | 6.91 | (6.73) | 18.60 | |
| 9DB | Dave Busters Entertainment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.18 | 0.03 | 7.96 | (5.56) | 21.38 | |
| HPI2 | RCS MediaGroup SpA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.92 | (3.88) | 11.77 | |
| BJI | Datang International Power | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.67 | (0.01) | 4.17 | (4.00) | 22.35 | |
| 5IS | Information Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.18 | 0.13 | 3.72 | (1.85) | 20.97 | |
| CC3 | Cass Information Systems | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.11 | 0.05 | 2.70 | (2.22) | 6.77 | |
| DTT0 | DATATEC LTD 2 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.81 | 0.13 | 2.79 | (1.87) | 8.43 |
Other Forecasting Options for Hitachi Construction
For every potential investor in Hitachi, whether a beginner or expert, Hitachi Construction's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hitachi Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hitachi. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hitachi Construction's price trends.Hitachi Construction Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hitachi Construction stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hitachi Construction could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hitachi Construction by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Hitachi Construction Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hitachi Construction stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hitachi Construction shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hitachi Construction stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hitachi Construction Machinery entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Hitachi Construction Risk Indicators
The analysis of Hitachi Construction's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hitachi Construction's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hitachi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.75 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.46 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.51 | |||
| Variance | 6.3 | |||
| Downside Variance | 9.24 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.07 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.07) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Hitachi Construction
The number of cover stories for Hitachi Construction depends on current market conditions and Hitachi Construction's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hitachi Construction is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hitachi Construction's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Hitachi Stock
Hitachi Construction financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hitachi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hitachi with respect to the benefits of owning Hitachi Construction security.