Healthcare Triangle Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

HCTI Stock  USD 0.61  0.02  3.17%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Healthcare Triangle on the next trading day is expected to be -0.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.33. Healthcare Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Healthcare Triangle's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 4th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Healthcare Triangle's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Healthcare Triangle's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Healthcare Triangle, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Healthcare Triangle's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Current Year
(1.37)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.25)
Wall Street Target Price
6
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.192
Using Healthcare Triangle hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Healthcare Triangle from the perspective of Healthcare Triangle response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Healthcare Triangle on the next trading day is expected to be -0.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.33.

Healthcare Triangle after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.59  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Healthcare Triangle to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Healthcare Stock please use our How to Invest in Healthcare Triangle guide.The Healthcare Triangle's current Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 5.64, while Payables Turnover is projected to decrease to 2.97. . The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 16.4 K. The current Net Loss is estimated to decrease to about (7.2 M).

Healthcare Triangle Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Healthcare price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Healthcare using various technical indicators. When you analyze Healthcare charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Healthcare Triangle Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Healthcare Triangle's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2015-12-31
Previous Quarter
3.2 M
Current Value
1.6 M
Quarterly Volatility
1.7 M
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Healthcare Triangle is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Healthcare Triangle value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Healthcare Triangle Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Healthcare Triangle on the next trading day is expected to be -0.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.33.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Healthcare Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Healthcare Triangle's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Healthcare Triangle Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Healthcare TriangleHealthcare Triangle Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Healthcare Triangle Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Healthcare Triangle's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Healthcare Triangle's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 8.38, respectively. We have considered Healthcare Triangle's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.61
-0.18
Expected Value
8.38
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Healthcare Triangle stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Healthcare Triangle stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.116
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1857
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1041
SAESum of the absolute errors11.3272
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Healthcare Triangle. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Healthcare Triangle. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Healthcare Triangle

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Healthcare Triangle. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Healthcare Triangle's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.599.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.101.9510.52
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
5.466.006.66
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Healthcare Triangle

For every potential investor in Healthcare, whether a beginner or expert, Healthcare Triangle's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Healthcare Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Healthcare. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Healthcare Triangle's price trends.

Healthcare Triangle Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Healthcare Triangle stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Healthcare Triangle could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Healthcare Triangle by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Healthcare Triangle Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Healthcare Triangle's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Healthcare Triangle's current price.

Healthcare Triangle Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Healthcare Triangle stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Healthcare Triangle shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Healthcare Triangle stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Healthcare Triangle entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Healthcare Triangle Risk Indicators

The analysis of Healthcare Triangle's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Healthcare Triangle's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting healthcare stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Healthcare Triangle offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Healthcare Triangle's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Healthcare Triangle Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Healthcare Triangle Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Healthcare Triangle to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Healthcare Stock please use our How to Invest in Healthcare Triangle guide.
You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Healthcare Triangle. If investors know Healthcare will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Healthcare Triangle listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(112.08)
Revenue Per Share
19.443
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.192
Return On Assets
(0.27)
Return On Equity
(1.18)
The market value of Healthcare Triangle is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Healthcare that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Healthcare Triangle's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Healthcare Triangle's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Healthcare Triangle's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Healthcare Triangle's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Healthcare Triangle's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Healthcare Triangle is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Healthcare Triangle's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.