AdvisorShares Ranger Etf Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| HDGE Etf | USD 16.14 0.18 1.10% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of AdvisorShares Ranger Equity on the next trading day is expected to be 16.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.14. AdvisorShares Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast AdvisorShares Ranger stock prices and determine the direction of AdvisorShares Ranger Equity's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of AdvisorShares Ranger's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength momentum indicator of AdvisorShares Ranger's share price is at 54. This usually indicates that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling AdvisorShares Ranger, making its price go up or down. Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using AdvisorShares Ranger hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AdvisorShares Ranger Equity from the perspective of AdvisorShares Ranger response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards AdvisorShares Ranger using AdvisorShares Ranger's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards AdvisorShares using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of AdvisorShares Ranger's stock price.
AdvisorShares Ranger Implied Volatility | 0.48 |
AdvisorShares Ranger's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of AdvisorShares Ranger Equity stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if AdvisorShares Ranger's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that AdvisorShares Ranger stock will not fluctuate a lot when AdvisorShares Ranger's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of AdvisorShares Ranger Equity on the next trading day is expected to be 16.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.14. AdvisorShares Ranger after-hype prediction price | USD 16.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current AdvisorShares contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that AdvisorShares Ranger Equity will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.03% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With AdvisorShares Ranger trading at USD 16.14, that is roughly USD 0.004842 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating AdvisorShares Ranger's daily price movement you should consider acquiring AdvisorShares Ranger Equity options at the current volatility level of 0.48%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 AdvisorShares Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast AdvisorShares Ranger's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in AdvisorShares Ranger's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for AdvisorShares Ranger stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current AdvisorShares Ranger's open interest, investors have to compare it to AdvisorShares Ranger's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of AdvisorShares Ranger is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in AdvisorShares. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
AdvisorShares Ranger Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine AdvisorShares price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AdvisorShares using various technical indicators. When you analyze AdvisorShares charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
AdvisorShares Ranger Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of AdvisorShares Ranger Equity on the next trading day is expected to be 16.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.14.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict AdvisorShares Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that AdvisorShares Ranger's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
AdvisorShares Ranger Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest AdvisorShares Ranger | AdvisorShares Ranger Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
AdvisorShares Ranger Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting AdvisorShares Ranger's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. AdvisorShares Ranger's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.12 and 17.16, respectively. We have considered AdvisorShares Ranger's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of AdvisorShares Ranger etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent AdvisorShares Ranger etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.0161 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0133 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1381 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0085 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.145 |
Predictive Modules for AdvisorShares Ranger
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AdvisorShares Ranger. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AdvisorShares Ranger After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of AdvisorShares Ranger at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AdvisorShares Ranger or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of AdvisorShares Ranger, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
AdvisorShares Ranger Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting AdvisorShares Ranger's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AdvisorShares Ranger's historical news coverage. AdvisorShares Ranger's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.13 and 17.15, respectively. We have considered AdvisorShares Ranger's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
AdvisorShares Ranger is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AdvisorShares Ranger is based on 3 months time horizon.
AdvisorShares Ranger Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as AdvisorShares Ranger is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AdvisorShares Ranger backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AdvisorShares Ranger, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 1.01 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
16.14 | 16.14 | 0.00 |
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AdvisorShares Ranger Hype Timeline
AdvisorShares Ranger is currently traded for 16.14. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. AdvisorShares is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on AdvisorShares Ranger is about 393.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.16. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AdvisorShares Ranger to cross-verify your projections.AdvisorShares Ranger Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to AdvisorShares Ranger's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AdvisorShares Ranger's future price movements. Getting to know how AdvisorShares Ranger's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AdvisorShares Ranger may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DRIP | Direxion Daily SP | (0.22) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 4.26 | (5.07) | 14.99 | |
| JDST | Direxion Daily Junior | 0.08 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 9.67 | (9.98) | 32.55 | |
| MSOX | AdvisorShares Trust | 2.98 | 3 per month | 13.00 | 0.01 | 21.96 | (17.30) | 158.44 | |
| NVDS | AXS 125X NVDA | 0.17 | 16 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.53 | (4.57) | 14.84 | |
| TYD | Direxion Daily 7 10 | (0.08) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 0.86 | (1.39) | 3.17 | |
| AGGA | Astoria Dynamic Core | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.98) | 0.16 | (0.16) | 0.44 | |
| KOOL | Spinnaker ETF Series | 0.05 | 3 per month | 0.84 | (0.07) | 1.12 | (1.66) | 3.22 | |
| DXD | ProShares UltraShort Dow30 | (0.51) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.12 | (2.33) | 6.33 | |
| PSET | Principal Quality ETF | 0.05 | 5 per month | 0.81 | (0.12) | 1.16 | (1.14) | 3.83 | |
| RPHS | Regents Park Hedged | 0.05 | 2 per month | 2.06 | (0.02) | 1.32 | (0.98) | 22.42 |
Other Forecasting Options for AdvisorShares Ranger
For every potential investor in AdvisorShares, whether a beginner or expert, AdvisorShares Ranger's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. AdvisorShares Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in AdvisorShares. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AdvisorShares Ranger's price trends.AdvisorShares Ranger Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AdvisorShares Ranger etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AdvisorShares Ranger could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AdvisorShares Ranger by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
AdvisorShares Ranger Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how AdvisorShares Ranger etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading AdvisorShares Ranger shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying AdvisorShares Ranger etf market strength indicators, traders can identify AdvisorShares Ranger Equity entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
AdvisorShares Ranger Risk Indicators
The analysis of AdvisorShares Ranger's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AdvisorShares Ranger's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting advisorshares etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7465 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.962 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.01 | |||
| Variance | 1.03 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.987 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.9254 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.83) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for AdvisorShares Ranger
The number of cover stories for AdvisorShares Ranger depends on current market conditions and AdvisorShares Ranger's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AdvisorShares Ranger is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AdvisorShares Ranger's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AdvisorShares Ranger to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
The market value of AdvisorShares Ranger is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AdvisorShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AdvisorShares Ranger's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AdvisorShares Ranger's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AdvisorShares Ranger's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AdvisorShares Ranger's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AdvisorShares Ranger's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AdvisorShares Ranger is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AdvisorShares Ranger's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.