HUDSON GLOBAL Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

HDH1 Stock  EUR 13.30  0.10  0.75%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of HUDSON GLOBAL INCDL 001 on the next trading day is expected to be 13.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.00. HUDSON Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of HUDSON GLOBAL's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for HUDSON GLOBAL - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When HUDSON GLOBAL prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in HUDSON GLOBAL price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of HUDSON GLOBAL INCDL.

HUDSON GLOBAL Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of HUDSON GLOBAL INCDL 001 on the next trading day is expected to be 13.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25, mean absolute percentage error of 0.14, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict HUDSON Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that HUDSON GLOBAL's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

HUDSON GLOBAL Stock Forecast Pattern

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HUDSON GLOBAL Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting HUDSON GLOBAL's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. HUDSON GLOBAL's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.61 and 15.99, respectively. We have considered HUDSON GLOBAL's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
13.30
13.30
Expected Value
15.99
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of HUDSON GLOBAL stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent HUDSON GLOBAL stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0475
MADMean absolute deviation0.2542
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0185
SAESum of the absolute errors15.0
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past HUDSON GLOBAL observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older HUDSON GLOBAL INCDL 001 observations.

Predictive Modules for HUDSON GLOBAL

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HUDSON GLOBAL INCDL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.6113.3015.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.9913.6816.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
13.2413.3313.43
Details

Other Forecasting Options for HUDSON GLOBAL

For every potential investor in HUDSON, whether a beginner or expert, HUDSON GLOBAL's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. HUDSON Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in HUDSON. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying HUDSON GLOBAL's price trends.

HUDSON GLOBAL Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with HUDSON GLOBAL stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of HUDSON GLOBAL could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing HUDSON GLOBAL by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

HUDSON GLOBAL INCDL Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of HUDSON GLOBAL's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of HUDSON GLOBAL's current price.

HUDSON GLOBAL Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how HUDSON GLOBAL stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading HUDSON GLOBAL shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying HUDSON GLOBAL stock market strength indicators, traders can identify HUDSON GLOBAL INCDL 001 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

HUDSON GLOBAL Risk Indicators

The analysis of HUDSON GLOBAL's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in HUDSON GLOBAL's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hudson stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in HUDSON Stock

HUDSON GLOBAL financial ratios help investors to determine whether HUDSON Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HUDSON with respect to the benefits of owning HUDSON GLOBAL security.