Health Discovery Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression
| HDVY Stock | USD 0.0001 0.00 0.00% |
Health Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Health Discovery's share price is at 51. This usually indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Health Discovery, making its price go up or down. Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Health Discovery hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Health Discovery Cp from the perspective of Health Discovery response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Health Discovery Cp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000097 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000321 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0002. Health Discovery after-hype prediction price | USD 9.4E-5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Health |
Health Discovery Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Health price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Health using various technical indicators. When you analyze Health charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Health Discovery Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Health Discovery Cp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000097 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000321, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0002.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Health Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Health Discovery's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Health Discovery Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Health Discovery | Health Discovery Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Health Discovery Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Health Discovery's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Health Discovery's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000001 and 127.84, respectively. We have considered Health Discovery's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Health Discovery pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Health Discovery pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 95.559 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 9.223372036854776E14 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.0E-4 |
Predictive Modules for Health Discovery
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Health Discovery. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Health Discovery's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Health Discovery After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Health Discovery at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Health Discovery or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Health Discovery, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Health Discovery Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Health Discovery's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Health Discovery's historical news coverage. Health Discovery's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 50.01, respectively. We have considered Health Discovery's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Health Discovery is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Health Discovery is based on 3 months time horizon.
Health Discovery Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Health Discovery is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Health Discovery backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Health Discovery, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
14.52 | 127.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.0001 | 0.000094 | 6.44 |
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Health Discovery Hype Timeline
Health Discovery is currently traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Health is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 9.4E-5. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -6.44%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 14.52%. The volatility of related hype on Health Discovery is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 220.0. Health Discovery recorded a loss per share of 0.01. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Health Discovery to cross-verify your projections.Health Discovery Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Health Discovery's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Health Discovery's future price movements. Getting to know how Health Discovery's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Health Discovery may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IGRW | Interactive Health Network | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| IBXG | iBX Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| WMGR | Wellness Matrix Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ACBM | ACRO Biomedical Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,000.00 | |
| RGDXQ | Response Genetics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AXMP | AXM Pharma | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| OMRX | Orthometrix | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ARYX | Aryx Therapeutics I | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| QEBR | Virtual Medical International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.16 | 100.00 | 0.00 | 375.00 | |
| SXHHF | Sonomax Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Health Discovery
For every potential investor in Health, whether a beginner or expert, Health Discovery's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Health Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Health. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Health Discovery's price trends.Health Discovery Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Health Discovery pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Health Discovery could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Health Discovery by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Health Discovery Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Health Discovery pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Health Discovery shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Health Discovery pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Health Discovery Cp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 51.06 |
Health Discovery Risk Indicators
The analysis of Health Discovery's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Health Discovery's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting health pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 31.79 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 127.84 | |||
| Variance | 16343.2 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Health Discovery
The number of cover stories for Health Discovery depends on current market conditions and Health Discovery's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Health Discovery is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Health Discovery's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Health Discovery Short Properties
Health Discovery's future price predictability will typically decrease when Health Discovery's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Health Discovery Cp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Health Discovery's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Health Discovery's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 397.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 917 K |
Additional Tools for Health Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Health Discovery's price analysis, check to measure Health Discovery's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Health Discovery is operating at the current time. Most of Health Discovery's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Health Discovery's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Health Discovery's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Health Discovery to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.