Hengan Intl Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average

HEGIF Stock  USD 3.90  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Hengan Intl Group on the next trading day is expected to be 3.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.36. Hengan Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Hengan Intl's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Hengan Intl is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Hengan Intl Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Hengan Intl Group on the next trading day is expected to be 3.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.36.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hengan Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hengan Intl's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Hengan Intl Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Hengan IntlHengan Intl Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Hengan Intl Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Hengan Intl's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hengan Intl's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.90 and 5.90, respectively. We have considered Hengan Intl's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.90
3.90
Expected Value
5.90
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hengan Intl pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hengan Intl pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.3707
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0165
MADMean absolute deviation0.0231
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0064
SAESum of the absolute errors1.365
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Hengan Intl Group price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Hengan Intl. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Hengan Intl

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hengan Intl Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.903.905.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.384.386.38
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Hengan Intl

For every potential investor in Hengan, whether a beginner or expert, Hengan Intl's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hengan Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hengan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hengan Intl's price trends.

Hengan Intl Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hengan Intl pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hengan Intl could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hengan Intl by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hengan Intl Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hengan Intl's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hengan Intl's current price.

Hengan Intl Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hengan Intl pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hengan Intl shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hengan Intl pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Hengan Intl Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Hengan Intl Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hengan Intl's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hengan Intl's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hengan pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Hengan Pink Sheet

Hengan Intl financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hengan Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hengan with respect to the benefits of owning Hengan Intl security.