Koninklijke Heijmans Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

HEIJM Stock  EUR 27.50  1.00  3.51%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Koninklijke Heijmans NV on the next trading day is expected to be 27.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.55 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.51. Koninklijke Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Koninklijke Heijmans stock prices and determine the direction of Koninklijke Heijmans NV's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Koninklijke Heijmans' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Koninklijke Heijmans NV is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Koninklijke Heijmans 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Koninklijke Heijmans NV on the next trading day is expected to be 27.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.55, mean absolute percentage error of 0.59, and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.51.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Koninklijke Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Koninklijke Heijmans' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Koninklijke Heijmans Stock Forecast Pattern

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Koninklijke Heijmans Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Koninklijke Heijmans' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Koninklijke Heijmans' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.21 and 30.52, respectively. We have considered Koninklijke Heijmans' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
27.50
27.86
Expected Value
30.52
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Koninklijke Heijmans stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Koninklijke Heijmans stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.2281
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1866
MADMean absolute deviation0.5529
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0211
SAESum of the absolute errors31.5125
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Koninklijke Heijmans. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Koninklijke Heijmans NV and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Koninklijke Heijmans

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Koninklijke Heijmans. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.8427.5030.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.9622.6230.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
23.4926.4229.34
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Koninklijke Heijmans

For every potential investor in Koninklijke, whether a beginner or expert, Koninklijke Heijmans' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Koninklijke Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Koninklijke. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Koninklijke Heijmans' price trends.

Koninklijke Heijmans Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Koninklijke Heijmans stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Koninklijke Heijmans could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Koninklijke Heijmans by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Koninklijke Heijmans Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Koninklijke Heijmans' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Koninklijke Heijmans' current price.

Koninklijke Heijmans Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Koninklijke Heijmans stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Koninklijke Heijmans shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Koninklijke Heijmans stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Koninklijke Heijmans NV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Koninklijke Heijmans Risk Indicators

The analysis of Koninklijke Heijmans' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Koninklijke Heijmans' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting koninklijke stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Other Information on Investing in Koninklijke Stock

Koninklijke Heijmans financial ratios help investors to determine whether Koninklijke Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Koninklijke with respect to the benefits of owning Koninklijke Heijmans security.