HOMEBOYZ ENTERTAINMENT Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

HEL Stock   4.66  0.00  0.00%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of HOMEBOYZ ENTERTAINMENT PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 4.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast HOMEBOYZ ENTERTAINMENT's stock prices and determine the direction of HOMEBOYZ ENTERTAINMENT PLC's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of HOMEBOYZ ENTERTAINMENT's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in interest.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for HOMEBOYZ ENTERTAINMENT works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

HOMEBOYZ ENTERTAINMENT Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of HOMEBOYZ ENTERTAINMENT PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 4.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict HOMEBOYZ Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that HOMEBOYZ ENTERTAINMENT's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

HOMEBOYZ ENTERTAINMENT Stock Forecast Pattern

HOMEBOYZ ENTERTAINMENT Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting HOMEBOYZ ENTERTAINMENT's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. HOMEBOYZ ENTERTAINMENT's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.66 and 4.66, respectively. We have considered HOMEBOYZ ENTERTAINMENT's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
4.66
4.66
Expected Value
4.66
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of HOMEBOYZ ENTERTAINMENT stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent HOMEBOYZ ENTERTAINMENT stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
When HOMEBOYZ ENTERTAINMENT PLC prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any HOMEBOYZ ENTERTAINMENT PLC trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent HOMEBOYZ ENTERTAINMENT observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for HOMEBOYZ ENTERTAINMENT

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HOMEBOYZ ENTERTAINMENT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of HOMEBOYZ ENTERTAINMENT's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.

Other Forecasting Options for HOMEBOYZ ENTERTAINMENT

For every potential investor in HOMEBOYZ, whether a beginner or expert, HOMEBOYZ ENTERTAINMENT's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. HOMEBOYZ Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in HOMEBOYZ. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying HOMEBOYZ ENTERTAINMENT's price trends.

HOMEBOYZ ENTERTAINMENT Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with HOMEBOYZ ENTERTAINMENT stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of HOMEBOYZ ENTERTAINMENT could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing HOMEBOYZ ENTERTAINMENT by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

HOMEBOYZ ENTERTAINMENT Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of HOMEBOYZ ENTERTAINMENT's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of HOMEBOYZ ENTERTAINMENT's current price.

HOMEBOYZ ENTERTAINMENT Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how HOMEBOYZ ENTERTAINMENT stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading HOMEBOYZ ENTERTAINMENT shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying HOMEBOYZ ENTERTAINMENT stock market strength indicators, traders can identify HOMEBOYZ ENTERTAINMENT PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

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