Helvetia Holding Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression

HELNF Stock   259.35  12.84  5.21%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Helvetia Holding AG on the next trading day is expected to be 216.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 28.60 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,745. Helvetia Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Helvetia Holding's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Helvetia Holding price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Helvetia Holding Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Helvetia Holding AG on the next trading day is expected to be 216.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 28.60, mean absolute percentage error of 1,104, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,745.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Helvetia Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Helvetia Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Helvetia Holding Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Helvetia Holding Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Helvetia Holding's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Helvetia Holding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 207.57 and 226.08, respectively. We have considered Helvetia Holding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
259.35
207.57
Downside
216.83
Expected Value
226.08
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Helvetia Holding pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Helvetia Holding pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria125.1176
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation28.6048
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1758
SAESum of the absolute errors1744.893
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Helvetia Holding AG historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Helvetia Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Helvetia Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
250.10259.35268.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
233.42270.23279.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
68.41161.08253.76
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Helvetia Holding

For every potential investor in Helvetia, whether a beginner or expert, Helvetia Holding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Helvetia Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Helvetia. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Helvetia Holding's price trends.

Helvetia Holding Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Helvetia Holding pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Helvetia Holding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Helvetia Holding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Helvetia Holding Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Helvetia Holding's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Helvetia Holding's current price.

Helvetia Holding Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Helvetia Holding pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Helvetia Holding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Helvetia Holding pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Helvetia Holding AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Helvetia Holding Risk Indicators

The analysis of Helvetia Holding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Helvetia Holding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting helvetia pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Helvetia Pink Sheet

Helvetia Holding financial ratios help investors to determine whether Helvetia Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Helvetia with respect to the benefits of owning Helvetia Holding security.