Hengdeli Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

HENGY Stock  USD 0.38  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hengdeli Holdings Ltd on the next trading day is expected to be 0.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Hengdeli Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Hengdeli Holdings is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Hengdeli Holdings Ltd value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Hengdeli Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hengdeli Holdings Ltd on the next trading day is expected to be 0.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hengdeli Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hengdeli Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Hengdeli Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Hengdeli Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Hengdeli Holdings' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hengdeli Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.38 and 0.38, respectively. We have considered Hengdeli Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.38
0.38
Expected Value
0.38
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hengdeli Holdings pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hengdeli Holdings pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria44.8923
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Hengdeli Holdings Ltd. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Hengdeli Holdings. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Hengdeli Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hengdeli Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.380.380.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.320.320.42
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hengdeli Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hengdeli Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hengdeli Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hengdeli Holdings.

Other Forecasting Options for Hengdeli Holdings

For every potential investor in Hengdeli, whether a beginner or expert, Hengdeli Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hengdeli Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hengdeli. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hengdeli Holdings' price trends.

Hengdeli Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hengdeli Holdings pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hengdeli Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hengdeli Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hengdeli Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hengdeli Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hengdeli Holdings' current price.

Hengdeli Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hengdeli Holdings pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hengdeli Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hengdeli Holdings pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Hengdeli Holdings Ltd entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Hengdeli Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Hengdeli Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Hengdeli Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hengdeli Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Hengdeli Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hengdeli Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hengdeli Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hengdeli Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.