Hartford Financial Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| HFF Stock | EUR 110.00 1.00 0.92% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of The Hartford Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 110.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 76.57. Hartford Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Hartford Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the value of rsi of Hartford Financial's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Hartford Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of The Hartford Financial from the perspective of Hartford Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of The Hartford Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 110.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 76.57. Hartford Financial after-hype prediction price | EUR 110.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Hartford |
Hartford Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hartford price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hartford using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hartford charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Hartford Financial Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of The Hartford Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 110.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.28, mean absolute percentage error of 3.10, and the sum of the absolute errors of 76.57.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hartford Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hartford Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Hartford Financial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Hartford Financial | Hartford Financial Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Hartford Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Hartford Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hartford Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 108.54 and 111.46, respectively. We have considered Hartford Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hartford Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hartford Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.4024 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0868 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.2761 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0113 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 76.565 |
Predictive Modules for Hartford Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as The Hartford Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hartford Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Hartford Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hartford Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hartford Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Hartford Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Hartford Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hartford Financial's historical news coverage. Hartford Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 108.54 and 111.46, respectively. We have considered Hartford Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Hartford Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of The Hartford Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Hartford Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hartford Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hartford Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hartford Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 1.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
110.00 | 110.00 | 0.00 |
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Hartford Financial Hype Timeline
The Hartford Financial is currently traded for 110.00on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Hartford is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Hartford Financial is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 110.00. About 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.89. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. The Hartford Financial recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.13. The entity last dividend was issued on the 3rd of March 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hartford Financial to cross-verify your projections.Hartford Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Hartford Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hartford Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Hartford Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hartford Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 3TY | Titan Machinery | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.14 | (0.03) | 3.68 | (3.61) | 24.14 | |
| EK7 | Agricultural Bank of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.86 | 0.02 | 6.56 | (6.15) | 25.76 | |
| 5PMA | GREENX METALS LTD | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.02 | 0.12 | 7.55 | (6.12) | 27.62 | |
| 8SX0 | BLUE MOON METALS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.58 | 0.1 | 9.16 | (6.15) | 22.31 | |
| I43 | Jacquet Metal Service | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.65 | 0.09 | 6.26 | (3.45) | 11.57 | |
| DFA1 | Dairy Farm International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.88 | 0.09 | 4.26 | (2.96) | 11.48 | |
| CAX | Visionary Copper and | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.41 | (5.13) | 16.78 |
Other Forecasting Options for Hartford Financial
For every potential investor in Hartford, whether a beginner or expert, Hartford Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hartford Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hartford. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hartford Financial's price trends.Hartford Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hartford Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hartford Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hartford Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Hartford Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hartford Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hartford Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hartford Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify The Hartford Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 110.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 110.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.5 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.0 |
Hartford Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of Hartford Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hartford Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hartford stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8652 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.11 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Variance | 1.97 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.36 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.24 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.64) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Hartford Financial
The number of cover stories for Hartford Financial depends on current market conditions and Hartford Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hartford Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hartford Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Hartford Stock
Hartford Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hartford Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hartford with respect to the benefits of owning Hartford Financial security.