Highland Floating Fund Forecast - Polynomial Regression

HFRO Fund  USD 5.77  0.48  9.07%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Highland Floating Rate on the next trading day is expected to be 5.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.38. Highland Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Highland Floating polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Highland Floating Rate as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Highland Floating Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Highland Floating Rate on the next trading day is expected to be 5.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.38.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Highland Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Highland Floating's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Highland Floating Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Highland FloatingHighland Floating Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Highland Floating Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Highland Floating's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Highland Floating's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.98 and 7.08, respectively. We have considered Highland Floating's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
5.77
5.53
Expected Value
7.08
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Highland Floating fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Highland Floating fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.2382
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0706
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0124
SAESum of the absolute errors4.3763
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Highland Floating historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Highland Floating

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Highland Floating Rate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.225.777.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.215.767.31
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Highland Floating

For every potential investor in Highland, whether a beginner or expert, Highland Floating's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Highland Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Highland. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Highland Floating's price trends.

View Highland Floating Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Highland Floating Rate Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Highland Floating's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Highland Floating's current price.

Highland Floating Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Highland Floating fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Highland Floating shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Highland Floating fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Highland Floating Rate entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Highland Floating Risk Indicators

The analysis of Highland Floating's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Highland Floating's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting highland fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Highland Floating

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Highland Floating position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Highland Floating will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Highland Fund

  0.92FMY First Trust MortgagePairCorr

Moving against Highland Fund

  0.92JPM JPMorgan Chase Fiscal Year End 10th of January 2025 PairCorr
  0.78MFD Macquariefirst Tr GlobalPairCorr
  0.78CVX Chevron Corp Fiscal Year End 7th of February 2025 PairCorr
  0.75CSCO Cisco Systems Aggressive PushPairCorr
  0.75DIS Walt Disney Aggressive PushPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Highland Floating could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Highland Floating when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Highland Floating - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Highland Floating Rate to buy it.
The correlation of Highland Floating is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Highland Floating moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Highland Floating Rate moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Highland Floating can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Highland Fund

Highland Floating financial ratios help investors to determine whether Highland Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Highland with respect to the benefits of owning Highland Floating security.
Earnings Calls
Check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance